Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 0-1 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.