Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2026 5.00pm
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 5.00pm
Gaziantep 2 - 1 Kasimpasa
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Adam Arous

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 11.30am
Karagumruk 1 - 0 Antalyaspor
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
David Datro Fofana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw has a probability of 25.93% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk has a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.79%) , while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it is 0-1 (7.58%).

Result

Kasimpasa 50.81% (-0.33)
Draw 25.93% (-0.04)
Fatih Karagumruk 23.26% (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.7% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.44%
Under 1.5 29.56%
Over 2.5 45.33% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.67% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.18% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 75.82% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.16%
Under 4.5 86.84%

First Half Winner

Kasimpasa 33% (+0.11)
Draw 44.07% (-0.33)
Fatih Karagumruk 22.94% (+0.24)

Team To Score First

Kasimpasa 53.12% (-0.15)
No Goal 8.72%
Fatih Karagumruk 38.16% (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 60.37% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.67% (+0.03)
Under 8 27.95% (-0.08)
Over 9 48.2% (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.18% (+0.05)
Under 9 39.63% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 36.62% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 63.38% (+0.07)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 1.5 44.41% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 55.59% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 19.39% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 80.61% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 6.66% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 93.34% (+0.11)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5 56.68% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 43.32% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 23.47% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 76.53% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 7.36% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 92.64% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 1.99% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.01% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Kasimpasa 50.81%
Draw 25.94%
Fatih Karagumruk 23.27%
Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 13.28% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.84% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.58% (-0.09)
Total : 50.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.72%
2-2 @ 4.56% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 25.94%
Fatih Karagumruk
0-1 @ 7.58%
1-2 @ 5.73% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.47% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.8% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.45% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.91% (+0.06)
Total : 23.27%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Nuno da Costa 11' goal
  • Jackson Porozo 69' yellowcard
  • Nuno da Costa 71' yellowcard
  • goal Valentin Eysseric 38'
  • yellowcard Emre Mor 70'
  • yellowcard Emre Mor 78'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mendes 84'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 11.30am
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi (Istanbul)
  • Federico Ceccherini 10' yellowcard
  • Federico Ceccherini 43' goal
  • Davide Biraschi 81' yellowcard
  • Kerem Atakan Kesgin 84' yellowcard
  • Stefano Sturaro 89' goal
  • goal Federico Ceccherini 3' (OG)
  • goal Aytac Kara 6'
  • goal Aytac Kara 34'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ozcan 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Omeruo 84'
  • yellowcard Erdem Cetinkaya 84'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 38
Jun 6, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT NEF Stadyumu
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 14' goal
  • Mbaye Diagne 67' goal
  • Mbaye Diagne 82' goal
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Recep Tayyip ErdoÄŸan Stadyumu
  • Florent Hadergjonaj 30' goal
  • Stephane Bahoken 90'+10' goal
  • goal Ibrahim Dresevic 51'
  • goal Fabio Borini 61'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 11.30am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jimmy Durmaz 10' yellowcard
  • Adnan Ugur 31' goal
  • Aleksandar Pesic 38' goal
  • Adnan Ugur 66' yellowcard
  • Kristijan Bistrovic 72' goal
  • Emre Mor 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eren Elmali 40'
  • yellowcard Tarkan Serbest 45'
  • yellowcard Uros Spajic 57'
  • goal Tarkan Serbest 67'
  • goal Jackson Muleka 82'