Turkish Super Lig
Kasimpasa
Feb 16, 2026 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Karagumruk
  • Kerem Demirbay 19' goal
  • Cenk Tosun 62' goal
  • Irfan Kahveci 71' goal
  • İrfan Can Kahveci 71' goal
  • Cafu 76' yellowcard
  • Fousseni Diabate 76' yellowcard
  • Habib Gueye 76' yellowcard
  • Fousseni Diabaté 76' yellowcard
  • Cafú 76' yellowcard
  • Pape Habib Guèye 76' yellowcard
  • Jim Allevinah 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Cukur 66'
  • yellowcard Bartuğ Elmaz 66'
  • yellowcard Tiago Çukur 66'
  • yellowcard Daniele Verde 67'
  • yellowcard Bartug Elmaz 67'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Traore 79'
  • goal Filip Mladenovic 80'
  • goal Ahmed Traore 90'+2'

Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 5.00pm
Gaziantep 2 - 1 Kasimpasa
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Fousseni Diabate

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 11.30am
Karagumruk 1 - 0 Antalyaspor
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Serginho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.25% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%) , while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result

Kasimpasa 50.26% ▼ (-0.71)
Draw 26.25% ▲ (+0.29)
Fatih Karagumruk 23.49% ▲ (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.68% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.2% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 29.8% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 44.93% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 55.07% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 23.89% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 76.11% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 12.94% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 87.06% ▲ (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Kasimpasa 32.98% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 43.94% ▼ (-0.35)
Fatih Karagumruk 23.09% ▲ (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Kasimpasa 52.88% ▼ (-0.29)
No Goal 8.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Fatih Karagumruk 38.41% ▲ (+0.32)

Corners

Over 8 60.29% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 28.02% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 9 48.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 12.19%
Under 9 39.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 36.53% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 63.47% ▲ (+0.09)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 1.5 43.99% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 1.5 56.01% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 2.5 18.93% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 81.07% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 6.43% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 93.57% ▲ (+0.26)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5 57.09% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 0.5 42.91% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 1.5 23.54% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 76.46% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 7.33% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 92.67% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.02% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Kasimpasa 50.27%
Draw 26.25%
Fatih Karagumruk 23.48%
Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 13.27% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.26)
Total : 50.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% ▲ (+0.22)
0-0 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.25%
Fatih Karagumruk
0-1 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.27)
1-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.48%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Karagumruk
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Kasimpasa
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 26
Kasimpasa
Feb 16, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
Karagumruk
  • Nuno da Costa 11' goal
  • Jackson Porozo 69' yellowcard
  • Nuno da Costa 71' yellowcard
  • goal Valentin Eysseric 38'
  • yellowcard Emre Mor 70'
  • yellowcard Emre Mor 78'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mendes 84'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 7
Karagumruk
Oct 1, 2023 11.30am
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi (Istanbul)
Kasimpasa
  • Federico Ceccherini 10' yellowcard
  • Federico Ceccherini 43' goal
  • Davide Biraschi 81' yellowcard
  • Kerem Atakan Kesgin 84' yellowcard
  • Stefano Sturaro 89' goal
  • goal Federico Ceccherini 3' (OG)
  • goal Aytac Kara 6'
  • goal Aytac Kara 34'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ozcan 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Omeruo 84'
  • yellowcard Erdem Cetinkaya 84'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 38
Karagumruk
Jun 6, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT NEF Stadyumu
Kasimpasa
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 14' goal
  • Mbaye Diagne 67' goal
  • Mbaye Diagne 82' goal
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 19
Kasimpasa
Jan 15, 2023 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Recep Tayyip ErdoÄŸan Stadyumu
Karagumruk
  • Florent Hadergjonaj 30' goal
  • Stephane Bahoken 90'+10' goal
  • goal Ibrahim Dresevic 51'
  • goal Fabio Borini 61'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 32
Karagumruk
Apr 9, 2022 11.30am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Kasimpasa
  • Jimmy Durmaz 10' yellowcard
  • Adnan Ugur 31' goal
  • Aleksandar Pesic 38' goal
  • Adnan Ugur 66' yellowcard
  • Kristijan Bistrovic 72' goal
  • Emre Mor 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eren Elmali 40'
  • yellowcard Tarkan Serbest 45'
  • yellowcard Uros Spajic 57'
  • goal Tarkan Serbest 67'
  • goal Jackson Muleka 82'

Form Data

Gaziantep 2 - 1 Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa 0 - 1 Samsunspor
Trabzonspor 2 - 1 Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa 0 - 0 Antalyaspor
Kasimpasa 2 - 0 Westerlo
Galatasaray 3 - 0 Kasimpasa
Karagumruk 1 - 0 Antalyaspor
Karagumruk 1 - 4 Istanbul
Goztepe SK 2 - 1 Karagumruk
Karagumruk 1 - 3 Galatasaray
Istanbul 2 - 1 Karagumruk
Alanyaspor 2 - 2 Karagumruk