La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 7, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 1.00pm
Real Madrid 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Nobel Mendy

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 1.00pm
Real Oviedo 1 - 0 Girona
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Federico Vinas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw has a probability of 26.18% and a win for Real Oviedo has a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.69%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it is 0-1 (7.83%).

Result

Rayo Vallecano 53.86% (+0.12)
Draw 26.18% (+0.01)
Real Oviedo 19.97% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.85% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.81% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 33.19% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 42.08% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 57.92% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 21.21% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 78.79% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 11.72% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.28% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 40.62% (+0.08)
Draw 42.92% (-0.05)
Real Oviedo 16.46% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 60.63% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.23% (+0.05)
Real Oviedo 29.14% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.26%
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 26.24% (-0.02)
Over 9 50.07% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.19%
Under 9 37.74%
Over 10.5 38.31%
Under 10.5 61.69%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 44.13% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.87% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.75% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.25% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.04%
Under 3.5 92.96%

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5 52.16% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 47.84% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 18.53% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 81.47% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 4.75% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 95.25% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 0.97% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.03% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 53.85%
Draw 26.18%
Real Oviedo 19.96%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 15.12% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.98% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.54% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.96%
Total : 53.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 10.23% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.18%
Real Oviedo
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.89% (-0.02)
Total : 19.96%

Head to Head

La Liga
Nov 23, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Segunda Division Gameweek 40
May 20, 2021 8.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Santiago Comesana 8' goal
  • Esteban Saveljich 35' yellowcard
  • Isi 38' goal
  • Yacine Qasmi 45'+2' goal
  • Oscar Valentin 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ahijado 70' goal
  • goal Gustavo Blanco 28'
  • yellowcard Edgar Gonzalez 57'
Segunda Division Gameweek 7
Oct 22, 2020 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Edgar Gonzalez 28' yellowcard
  • Borja Sanchez 58' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Aburjania 82' yellowcard
  • Juanjo Nieto 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Garcia 56'
  • yellowcard Joni Montiel 83'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Ulloa 88'
Segunda Division Gameweek 27
Feb 9, 2020 5.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Antonio Milic 27' yellowcard
  • Isi 67' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Ulloa 75' goal
  • Oscar Trejo 79' yellowcard
  • Oscar Trejo 91' redcard
  • goal Rodri 28'
  • yellowcard Mossa 38'
  • yellowcard Christian Fernandez 66'
  • yellowcard Lolo Gonzalez 73'
  • redcard Javier Rozada 75'
Segunda Division Gameweek 18
Dec 1, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)
  • Juanjo Nieto 1' goal
  • Bonalo 44' yellowcard
  • Alfredo Ortuno 82' goal
  • Marco Sangalli 93' yellowcard
  • goal Adri Embarba 11'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Ulloa 17'
  • yellowcard Esteban Saveljich 51'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 83'
  • yellowcard Mario Suarez 94'
Segunda Division
Jan 12, 2018 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio del Rayo Vallecano (de Vallecas Teresa Rivero) (Madrid)
  • Alejandro Dominguez 24' goal
  • Chechu Dorado 50' yellowcard
  • Baiano 57' yellowcard
  • Manucho 65' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Velazquez 72' redcard
  • Oscar Trejo 82' goal
  • Oscar Trejo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Forlin 4'
  • yellowcard Aaron Niguez 21'
  • goal Christian 40'
  • goal Carlos Hernandez 49'
  • yellowcard Carlos Hernandez 77'
  • yellowcard Christian 81'
  • yellowcard Mossa 90'