Mar 4, 2026 6.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio de Vallecas

Jorge de Frutos 44'
Jorge de Frutos 50'
Álvaro García 62'
Isi Palazón 65'
Fran Pérez 65'
Oscar Trejo 69'
Iván Balliu 88'
Alexandre Zurawski 88'

Santi Cazorla 46'
Thiago Fernández 46'
Haissem Hassan 61'
Nicolás Fonseca 61'
Luka Ilic 61'
Thiago Borbas 74'

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 02 Mar 2026 11:51

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

D
D
W
L
L
L

La Liga

D
D
W
L
L
L

Last game

Feb 28, 2026 1.00pm

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao

Goals scored

27

Top scorer

Jorge de Frutos

Real Oviedo

All competitions

L
D
L
W
L
L

La Liga

L
D
L
W
L
L

Last game

Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm

Real Oviedo 0 - 1 Atletico

Goals scored

18

Top scorer

Federico Viñas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.37% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.69%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 53.63% ▲ (+0.08)

Draw 27.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Real Oviedo 18.98% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score:

41.89% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.77% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 35.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 39.57%

Under 2.5 60.43%

Over 3.5 20%

Under 3.5 80.01%

Over 4.5 10.94% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 89.06% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 41.79%

Draw 40.9%

Real Oviedo 17.31%

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 60.02%

No Goal 11.69%

Real Oviedo 28.29%

Corners

Over 8 63.49%

Equal 8 11.06%

Under 8 25.45%

Over 9 51.67%

Equal 9 11.82%

Under 9 36.51%

Over 10.5 40.14%

Under 10.5 59.86%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 42.83% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 57.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 18.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 81.46% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 3.5 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 93.46% ▼ (-0.02)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5 49.65% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 0.5 50.35% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 1.5 17.5% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 82.5% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 4.55%

Under 2.5 95.45%

Over 3.5 0.97%

Under 3.5 99.03%

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 53.63%

Draw 27.35%

Real Oviedo 18.97%

Rayo Vallecano

1-0 @ 15.94% ▲ (+0.03)

2-0 @ 10.84% ▲ (+0.03)

2-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 4.24%

3-2 @ 1.92%

Other @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 53.63%

Draw

0-0 @ 11.69%

1-1 @ 11.5% ▼ (-0.03)

2-2 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 27.35%

Real Oviedo

0-1 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.03)

1-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 1.19%

Other @ 0.96%

Total : 18.97%

Head to Head

Nov 23, 2025 1.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

May 20, 2021 8.30pm

4

1

HT : 3 1

FT

Santiago Comesana 8'
Esteban Saveljich 35'
Isi 38'
Yacine Qasmi 45'+2'
Oscar Valentin 69'
Lucas Ahijado 70'

Gustavo Blanco 28'
Edgar Gonzalez 57'

Oct 22, 2020 6.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Edgar Gonzalez 28'
Borja Sanchez 58'
Giorgi Aburjania 82'
Juanjo Nieto 90'+1'

Alvaro Garcia 56'
Joni Montiel 83'
Leonardo Ulloa 88'

Feb 9, 2020 5.15pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio de Vallecas

Antonio Milic 27'
Isi 67'
Leonardo Ulloa 75'
Oscar Trejo 79'
Oscar Trejo 91'

Rodri 28'
Mossa 38'
Christian Fernandez 66'
Lolo Gonzalez 73'
Javier Rozada 75'

Dec 1, 2019 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Juanjo Nieto 1'
Bonalo 44'
Alfredo Ortuno 82'
Marco Sangalli 93'

Adri Embarba 11'
Leonardo Ulloa 17'
Esteban Saveljich 51'
Alejandro Catena 83'
Mario Suarez 94'

Jan 12, 2018 8.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio del Rayo Vallecano (de Vallecas Teresa Rivero) (Madrid)

Alejandro Dominguez 24'
Chechu Dorado 50'
Baiano 57'
Manucho 65'
Emiliano Velazquez 72'
Oscar Trejo 82'
Oscar Trejo 90'

Juan Forlin 4'
Aaron Niguez 21'
Christian 40'
Carlos Hernandez 49'
Carlos Hernandez 77'
Christian 81'
Mossa 90'

Form Data

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao

Betis 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 Atletico

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 3 Osasuna

Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano

Real Oviedo 0 - 1 Atletico

Real Sociedad 3 - 3 Real Oviedo

Real Oviedo 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao

Real Oviedo 1 - 0 Girona

Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Oviedo

Osasuna 3 - 2 Real Oviedo