La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Akor Adams 13' goal
  • José Ángel Carmona 59' yellowcard
  • Isaac Romero 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Chidera Ejuke 67' yellowcard
  • Chidera Ejuke 68' yellowcard
  • Isaac Romero 68' yellowcard
  • Batista Mendy 84' yellowcard
  • goal Alfonso Espino 50'
  • yellowcard Ilias Akhomach 58'
  • yellowcard Unai López 67'
  • yellowcard Álvaro García 67'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Pedro Díaz 86'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 86'

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 5.30pm
Betis 2 - 2 Sevilla
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Djibril Sow

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 6.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Sevilla 36.31% (+0.64)
Draw 26.41% (-0.13)
Rayo Vallecano 37.32% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.51% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.42% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 24.58% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 51.19% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 48.81% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 28.87% (+0.52)
Under 3.5 71.13% (-0.52)
Over 4.5 15.73% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 84.27% (-0.38)

First Half Winner

Sevilla 30.02%
Draw 42.88%
Rayo Vallecano 27.09%

Team To Score First

Sevilla 48.74% (+0.10)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.17)
Rayo Vallecano 44.43% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 54.49% (+0.13)
Equal 8 12.14% (+0.03)
Under 8 33.37% (-0.16)
Over 9 42.42% (+0.08)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.05)
Under 9 45.51% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 31.46% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 68.54% (-0.04)

Sevilla Goals

Over 1.5 37% (+0.83)
Under 1.5 63% (-0.83)
Over 2.5 14.39% (+0.57)
Under 2.5 85.61% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 4.53% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 95.47% (-0.25)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 71.29% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 28.71% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 38.15% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.85% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.33% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.67% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.11% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.89% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sevilla 36.32%
Draw 26.4%
Rayo Vallecano 37.31%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.34% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 5.84% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.6% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.63% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.08)
Other @ 4.42% (+0.25)
Total : 36.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.86% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.4%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.23)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.57% (+0.03)
Other @ 5% (-0.01)
Total : 37.31%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 28, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 1, 2025 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Andrei Ratiu 55' goal
  • Gerard Gumbau 87' yellowcard
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 81'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Djibril Sow 27' goal
  • Loic Bade 40' yellowcard
  • Kike Salas 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 9'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 20'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 31'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Garcia 37'
  • redcard Unai Lopez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Augusto Batalla 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Isi 29' goal
  • Miguel Crespo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Stole Dimitrievski 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 19'
  • yellowcard Isaac Romero 36'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 45'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 85'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Nemanja Gudelj 36' yellowcard
  • Djibril Sow 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Djibril Sow 50' goal
  • Suso 67' yellowcard
  • Jesus Navas 84' yellowcard
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 90'+6' goal
  • Joan Jordan 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Oscar Valentin 21'
  • goal Alvaro Garcia 26'
  • yellowcard Aridane Hernandez 74'
  • yellowcard Kike Perez 84'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Florian Lejeune 65' goal
  • goal Suso 29'