Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 5.00pm
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 5.00pm
Antalyaspor 2 - 2 Fenerbahce
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Marco Asensio

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 5.00pm
Samsunspor 0 - 0 Gaziantep
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Anthony Musaba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Samsunspor has a probability of 25.91% and a draw has a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Samsunspor win is 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Fenerbahce 48.5% (-0.61)
Draw 25.62% (+0.04)
Samsunspor 25.91% (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.83% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.97% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 27.03% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 48.72% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 51.28% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 27.15% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 72.85% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 15.24% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.76% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Fenerbahce 39.51%
Draw 39.38%
Samsunspor 21.11%

Team To Score First

Fenerbahce 57.65% (+0.05)
No Goal 7.77% (-0.09)
Samsunspor 34.58% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.03% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.6% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.37% (+0.02)
Over 9 42.55% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.48% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.97% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 32.1% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 67.9% (+0.05)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 1.5 44.89% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 55.11% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 20.39% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 79.61% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 7.65% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 92.35% (+0.10)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 60.68% (+0.64)
Under 0.5 39.32% (-0.64)
Over 1.5 26.73% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 73.27% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 8.68% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 91.32% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 2.27% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.73% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Fenerbahce 48.49%
Draw 25.62%
Samsunspor 25.89%
Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 11.37% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.71%
Other @ 7.55% (-0.11)
Total : 48.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.62%
Samsunspor
0-1 @ 7.89% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.24% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.14% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.75% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.17% (+0.09)
Total : 25.89%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Oct 5, 2025 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
  • Zeki Yavru 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marius Mouandilmadji 4'
  • yellowcard Celil Yuksel 12'
  • redcard Marius Mouandilmadji 75'
  • yellowcard Jose Mourinho 76'
  • yellowcard Okan Kocuk 79'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Thomas Reis 10' yellowcard
  • Lubomir Satka 13' yellowcard
  • Carlo Holse 48' goal
  • Rodrigo Becao 52' yellowcard
  • Emre Kilinc 55' yellowcard
  • Marc Bola 57' yellowcard
  • Soner Aydogdu 88' goal
  • Alexander Djiku 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Kostic 9'
  • yellowcard Olivier Ntcham 14'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 24'
  • yellowcard Fred 40'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 62'
  • yellowcard Youssef Ait Bennasser 76'
  • yellowcard Irfan Kahveci 89'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
  • Irfan Kahveci 12' goal
  • Mert Muldur 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marius Mouandilmadji 20'
  • goal Emre Kilinc 62'
  • yellowcard Okan Kocuk 84'
  • yellowcard Carlo Holse 90'+5'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2023 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Rick van Drongelen 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Edin Dzeko 62'
  • yellowcard Mert Muldur 90'+7'
  • goal Sebastian Szymanski 90'+8'