Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 25
Fenerbahce
Mar 8, 2026 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
Samsunspor
  • Mattéo Guendouzi 15' goal
  • Yiğit Efe Demir 61' yellowcard
  • İsmail Yüksek 61' yellowcard
  • Fred 75' yellowcard
  • Dorgeles Nene 75' yellowcard
  • Dorgeles Nene 89' goal
  • Sidiki Chérif 90'+5' goal
  • Oğuz Aydın 90'+11' yellowcard
  • goal Marius Mouandilmadji 11'
  • goal Marius Mouandilmadji 23'
  • yellowcard Toni Borevković 46'
  • yellowcard Elayis Tavsan 46'
  • yellowcard Cherif Ndiaye 79'
  • yellowcard Yalçın Kayan 84'
  • yellowcard Ali Badra Diabaté 89'

Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 5.00pm
Antalyaspor 2 - 2 Fenerbahce
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Dorgeles Nene

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 5.00pm
Samsunspor 0 - 0 Gaziantep
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Marius Mouandilmadji

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Fenerbahce 46.53% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 26.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Samsunspor 27.26% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.93% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 27.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 47.56% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 52.41% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 26.14% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 73.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 14.36% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.64% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Fenerbahce 37.44%
Draw 40.08%
Samsunspor 22.48%

Team To Score First

Fenerbahce 53.91% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 7.9% ▼ (-0.05)
Samsunspor 38.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.85%
Under 8 36.93% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 9 39.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 48.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 29.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 10.5 70.47% ▼ (-0.07)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 1.5 42.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.66%
Under 3.5 93.34%

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 61.84% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 38.16% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 27.68% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 72.32% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 9.11% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 90.89% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.59% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Fenerbahce 46.54%
Draw 26.18%
Samsunspor 27.25%
Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 11.52% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.6%
Total : 46.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.18%
Samsunspor
0-1 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 27.25%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Samsunspor
Oct 5, 2025 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fenerbahce
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 28
Fenerbahce
Mar 16, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Samsunspor
  • Zeki Yavru 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marius Mouandilmadji 4'
  • yellowcard Celil Yuksel 12'
  • redcard Marius Mouandilmadji 75'
  • yellowcard Jose Mourinho 76'
  • yellowcard Okan Kocuk 79'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 9
Samsunspor
Oct 20, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadyum Samsun
Fenerbahce
  • Thomas Reis 10' yellowcard
  • Lubomir Satka 13' yellowcard
  • Carlo Holse 48' goal
  • Rodrigo Becao 52' yellowcard
  • Emre Kilinc 55' yellowcard
  • Marc Bola 57' yellowcard
  • Soner Aydogdu 88' goal
  • Alexander Djiku 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Kostic 9'
  • yellowcard Olivier Ntcham 14'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 24'
  • yellowcard Fred 40'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 62'
  • yellowcard Youssef Ait Bennasser 76'
  • yellowcard Irfan Kahveci 89'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 21
Fenerbahce
Jan 21, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Samsunspor
  • Irfan Kahveci 12' goal
  • Mert Muldur 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marius Mouandilmadji 20'
  • goal Emre Kilinc 62'
  • yellowcard Okan Kocuk 84'
  • yellowcard Carlo Holse 90'+5'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 2
Samsunspor
Aug 21, 2023 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
Fenerbahce
  • Rick van Drongelen 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Edin Dzeko 62'
  • yellowcard Mert Muldur 90'+7'
  • goal Sebastian Szymanski 90'+8'

Form Data

Gaziantep 0 - 4 Fenerbahce
Antalyaspor 2 - 2 Fenerbahce
Nott'm Forest 1 - 2 Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Kasimpasa
Fenerbahce 0 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Trabzonspor 2 - 3 Fenerbahce
Antalyaspor 0 - 2 Samsunspor
Samsunspor 0 - 0 Gaziantep
Samsunspor 4 - 0 Shkendija
Karagumruk 0 - 0 Samsunspor
Shkendija 0 - 1 Samsunspor
Antalyaspor 3 - 1 Samsunspor