Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 2-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.