Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for BB Erzurumspor had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest BB Erzurumspor win was 0-1 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.