Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Genclerbirligi had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.48%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%) , while for a Genclerbirligi win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.