Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2026 5.00pm
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

Fenerbahce vs Kasimpasa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 5.00pm
Trabzonspor 2 - 3 Fenerbahce
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Kerem Akturkoglu

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 5.00pm
Kasimpasa 3 - 2 Karagumruk
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Fousseni Diabate

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw has a probability of 20.31% and a win for Kasimpasa has a probability of 14.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.57%) , while for a Kasimpasa win it is 0-1 (4.93%).

Result

Fenerbahce 64.81% (-5.68)
Draw 20.31% (+2.01)
Kasimpasa 14.88% (+3.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.22% (+4.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.85% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 22.15% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 55.13% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 44.87% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 33.16% (-1.19)
Under 3.5 66.84% (+1.19)
Over 4.5 21.16% (-2.16)
Under 4.5 78.84% (+2.16)

First Half Winner

Fenerbahce 49.36% (-3.68)
Draw 35.22% (+1.86)
Kasimpasa 15.43% (+1.83)

Team To Score First

Fenerbahce 69.26% (-3.48)
No Goal 5.92% (+0.02)
Kasimpasa 24.82% (+3.47)

Corners

Over 8 63.83% (+1.65)
Equal 8 10.91% (-0.16)
Under 8 25.26% (-1.50)
Over 9 52.15% (+1.65)
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 36.17% (-1.65)
Over 10.5 40.72% (+1.50)
Under 10.5 59.28% (-1.50)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 1.5 59.55% (-3.65)
Under 1.5 40.45% (+3.65)
Over 2.5 33.2% (-4.25)
Under 2.5 66.8% (+4.25)
Over 3.5 15.02% (-3.15)
Under 3.5 84.98% (+3.15)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5 49.42% (+6.49)
Under 0.5 50.58% (-6.49)
Over 1.5 17.88% (+4.18)
Under 1.5 82.12% (-4.18)
Over 2.5 4.71% (+1.53)
Under 2.5 95.29% (-1.53)
Over 3.5 1.05% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 98.95% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Fenerbahce 64.81%
Draw 20.32%
Kasimpasa 14.87%
Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.78)
2-0 @ 11.03% (-1.14)
2-1 @ 10.15% (+0.72)
3-0 @ 7.36% (-1.40)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.15)
Other @ 14.97% (-3.14)
Total : 64.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.57% (+1.02)
0-0 @ 5.92% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.96% (+0.75)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 20.32%
Kasimpasa
0-1 @ 4.93% (+0.65)
1-2 @ 3.97% (+1.23)
0-2 @ 2.13% (+0.52)
2-3 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1% (+0.33)
Total : 14.87%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Sep 21, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 24
Feb 16, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 21' goal
  • Anderson Talisca 31' yellowcard
  • Oguz Aydin 52' goal
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 71' goal
  • yellowcard Claudio Winck 33'
  • goal Mamadou Fall 62'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Mamadou Fall 8' yellowcard
  • Nicholas Opoku 38' yellowcard
  • Claudio Winck 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 22'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 39'
  • yellowcard Jayden Oosterwolde 49'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 27
Feb 24, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
  • Ismail Yuksek 54' yellowcard
  • Mert Hakan Yandas 64' goal
  • Alexander Djiku 84' yellowcard
  • Michy Batshuayi 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Mortadha Ben Ouannes 14'
  • goal Jackson Porozo 58'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Fall 82'
  • yellowcard Trazie Thomas 90'
  • yellowcard T. Thomas 90'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Julien Ngoy 55' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Omeruo 87' yellowcard
  • Sadik Ciftpinar 89' yellowcard
  • goal Edin Dzeko 6'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 45'+3'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 21
Jan 29, 2023 4.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
  • Enner Valencia 37' goal
  • Enner Valencia 39' goal
  • Enner Valencia 52' goal
  • Enner Valencia 69' goal
  • Michy Batshuayi 90'+2' goal
  • goal Mamadou Fall 24'