Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 23
Fenerbahce
Feb 23, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
Kasimpasa
  • Yiğit Efe Demir 27' yellowcard
  • N'Golo Kanté 40' yellowcard
  • Mert Müldür 46' yellowcard
  • Fred 76' yellowcard
  • Sidiki Chérif 76' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard E. Taşdemir 46'
  • yellowcard Cafú 68'
  • yellowcard Pape Habib Guèye 76'
  • yellowcard Jim Allevinah 84'
  • yellowcard Taylan Aydın 84'
  • goal Jim Allevinah 90'+11'

Fenerbahce vs Kasimpasa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 5.00pm
Trabzonspor 2 - 3 Fenerbahce
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Dorgeles Nene

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 5.00pm
Kasimpasa 3 - 2 Karagumruk
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Fousseni Diabate

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.48% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%) , while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Fenerbahce 64.48% ▼ (-0.19)
Draw 20.48% ▲ (+0.13)
Kasimpasa 15.04% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.12% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.33% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 22.67% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 54.41% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 2.5 45.59% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 3.5 32.23% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 3.5 67.77% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 4.5 20.36% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 4.5 79.64% ▲ (+0.52)

First Half Winner

Fenerbahce 49.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 35.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Kasimpasa 15.44% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Fenerbahce 69.3% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 5.99% ▲ (+0.09)
Kasimpasa 24.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 8 25.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 52.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.77% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 36.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 40.56% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 59.44% ▲ (+0.09)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 1.5 58.94% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 41.06% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 2.5 32.01% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 2.5 67.99% ▲ (+0.85)
Over 3.5 14.41% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 85.59% ▲ (+0.50)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5 49.69% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 50.31% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 17.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 82.18% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 4.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 95.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fenerbahce 64.48%
Draw 20.48%
Kasimpasa 15.03%
Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 11.63% ▲ (+0.31)
2-0 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 10.47% ▲ (+0.19)
3-0 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 14.37% ▼ (-0.50)
Total : 64.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 20.48%
Kasimpasa
0-1 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 15.03%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Kasimpasa
Sep 21, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Fenerbahce
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 24
Fenerbahce
Feb 16, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Kasimpasa
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 21' goal
  • Anderson Talisca 31' yellowcard
  • Oguz Aydin 52' goal
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 71' goal
  • yellowcard Claudio Winck 33'
  • goal Mamadou Fall 62'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 5
Kasimpasa
Sep 15, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
Fenerbahce
  • Mamadou Fall 8' yellowcard
  • Nicholas Opoku 38' yellowcard
  • Claudio Winck 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 22'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 39'
  • yellowcard Jayden Oosterwolde 49'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 27
Fenerbahce
Feb 24, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Kasimpasa
  • Ismail Yuksek 54' yellowcard
  • Mert Hakan Yandas 64' goal
  • Alexander Djiku 84' yellowcard
  • Michy Batshuayi 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Mortadha Ben Ouannes 14'
  • goal Jackson Porozo 58'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Fall 82'
  • yellowcard Trazie Thomas 90'
  • yellowcard T. Thomas 90'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 8
Kasimpasa
Oct 8, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
Fenerbahce
  • Julien Ngoy 55' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Omeruo 87' yellowcard
  • Sadik Ciftpinar 89' yellowcard
  • goal Edin Dzeko 6'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 45'+3'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 21
Fenerbahce
Jan 29, 2023 4.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Kasimpasa
  • Enner Valencia 37' goal
  • Enner Valencia 39' goal
  • Enner Valencia 52' goal
  • Enner Valencia 69' goal
  • Michy Batshuayi 90'+2' goal
  • goal Mamadou Fall 24'

Form Data

Fenerbahce 0 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Trabzonspor 2 - 3 Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce 3 - 1 Genclerbirligi
Fenerbahce 3 - 1 BB Erzurumspor
Kocaelispor 0 - 2 Fenerbahce
FCSB 1 - 1 Fenerbahce
Kasimpasa 3 - 2 Karagumruk
Gaziantep 2 - 1 Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa 0 - 1 Samsunspor
Trabzonspor 2 - 1 Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa 0 - 0 Antalyaspor
Kasimpasa 2 - 0 Westerlo