Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 52.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.07% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%) , while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.