Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Antoine Makoumbou 4' yellowcard
  • Antoine Makoumbou 31' goal
  • Joe Mendes 73' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Coulibaly 73' yellowcard
  • Emre Kılınç 73' yellowcard
  • Logi Tómasson 90'+2' goal
  • goal Toni Borevković 46' (OG)
  • yellowcard João Mendes 46'
  • yellowcard Fedor Chalov 46'
  • yellowcard Indrit Tuci 64'
  • yellowcard Görkem Sağlam 77'

Samsunspor vs Kayserispor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 5.00pm
Fenerbahce 3 - 2 Samsunspor
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Marius Mouandilmadji

Kayserispor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Mar 9, 2026 5.00pm
Kayserispor 1 - 3 Trabzonspor
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
German Onugkha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 52.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.07% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%) , while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Samsunspor 52.4% (-0.04)
Draw 27.07% (-0.04)
Kayserispor 20.53% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.27% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.69% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 34.31% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 40.84% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 59.16% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 20.65% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 79.36% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.37% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.63% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Samsunspor 39.25%
Draw 42.04%
Kayserispor 18.71%

Team To Score First

Samsunspor 60.99% (+0.06)
No Goal 11.03% (-0.07)
Kayserispor 27.98% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.07%
Equal 8 11.25% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.68% (-0.01)
Over 9 42.94% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.13% (+0.02)
Under 9 45.93%
Over 10.5 32.78% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 67.22% (+0.02)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 1.5 42.84% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 57.16% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 19.05% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 80.95% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.87% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.13% (-0.02)

Kayserispor Goals

Over 0.5 52.11% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 47.89% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 18.54% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 81.46% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 4.68% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.32% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.98% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.02% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Samsunspor 52.41%
Draw 27.07%
Kayserispor 20.52%
Samsunspor
1-0 @ 14.88% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.14% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.18% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05%
Other @ 6.81%
Total : 52.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.03% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.72% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 27.07%
Kayserispor
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.91% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 20.52%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Oct 19, 2025 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 38
Jun 1, 2025 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Emre Kilinc 68' yellowcard
  • Zeki Yavru 76' yellowcard
  • Rick van Drongelen 85' yellowcard
  • Soner Aydogdu 90'+5' goal
  • Arbnor Muja 90'+8' goal
  • 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Arbnor Muja 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Carlo Holse 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Kolovetsios 44'
  • goal Duckens Nazon 46'
  • yellowcard Baran Gezek 76'
  • yellowcard Miguel Cardoso 90'+2'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 19
Jan 11, 2025 10.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kadir Has Sehir Stadi
  • Ramazan Civelek 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Marius Mouandilmadji 1'
  • yellowcard Zeki Yavru 79'
  • yellowcard Okan Kocuk 90'+2'
Club Friendlies 2
Jul 15, 2024 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Kadir Has Sehir Stadi
  • Duckens Nazon 47' goal
  • goal Marius Mouandilmadji 4'
  • goal Olivier Ntcham 65'
  • goal Ercan Kara 83'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Zeki Yavru 10' goal
  • Ercan Kara 57' goal
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 5.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Kadir Has Sehir Stadi
  • Anthony Uzodimma 16' goal
  • Mame Thiam 38' goal
  • goal Marius Mouandilmadji 21'