Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (6.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.