Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.12% and a win for Levante had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%) , while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.