La Liga Gameweek 30
Atletico
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Giuliano Simeone 39' goal
  • Matteo Ruggeri 46' yellowcard
  • José María Giménez 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 61' yellowcard
  • Javi Morcillo 61' yellowcard
  • Taufik Seidu 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal 40'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 42'
  • yellowcard Ferran Torres 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Jules Koundé 62'
  • yellowcard Gavi 78'
  • yellowcard Gavi 79'
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 79'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 87'

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Atletico
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Lamine Yamal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Madrid 43.02% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 23.43%
Barcelona 33.59% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 15.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 65.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 34.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 43.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 56.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 27.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 72.95% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 35.77%
Draw 37.8%
Barcelona 26.42%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 54.33% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Barcelona 41.95%

Corners

Over 8 61.92%
Equal 8 10.75%
Under 8 27.33%
Over 9 50.61%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 38.08%
Over 10.5 39.68%
Under 10.5 60.32%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 50.13% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 49.87% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 25.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 74.76% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 10.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 89.72% ▲ (+0.07)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 71.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 28.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 42.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 57.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 19.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 80.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 43.02%
Draw 23.43%
Barcelona 33.58%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 43.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 0.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.43%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 33.58%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Mar 3, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Camp Nou
Atletico
  • Alejandro Balde 13' yellowcard
  • Marc Bernal 29' goal
  • Raphinha 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 64' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 64' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 71' yellowcard
  • Marc Bernal 72' goal
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 58'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 58'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 69'
  • yellowcard José María Giménez 76'
Copa del Rey
Atletico
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 6 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Eric Garcia 6' goal
  • Eric García 7' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 14' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 33' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+2' goal
  • Julián Alvarez 45'+2' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Baena 68' yellowcard
  • Álex Baena 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 68' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 73' yellowcard
  • Robin Le Normand 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 37'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 77'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 77'
  • yellowcard João Cancelo 77'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martin Langreo 87'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martín 87'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martin Langreo 88'
La Liga
Barcelona
Dec 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Atletico
  • Raphinha 26' goal
  • Gerard Martin Langreo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 65' goal
  • Ferran Torres 90'+6' goal
  • goal Alex Baena 19'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 41'
Copa del Rey
Atletico
Apr 2, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 6' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 9' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 13' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 31' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 59' yellowcard
  • goal Ferran Torres 27'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 35'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 68'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Atletico
Mar 16, 2025 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Reinildo Mandava 36' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 70' goal
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 26'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 64'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 72'
  • goal Ferran Torres 78'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lamine Yamal 90'+3'
  • goal Ferran Torres 90'+8'
Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Feb 25, 2025 8.30pm
4
4
HT : 3 2
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico
  • Pedri 19' goal
  • Pau Cubarsi 21' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 41' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 74' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 1'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 6'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 16'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 70'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 82'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 84'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 88'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+1'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+3'

Form Data

Real Madrid 3 - 2 Atletico
Spurs 3 - 2 Atletico
Atletico 1 - 0 Getafe
Atletico 5 - 2 Spurs
Atletico 3 - 2 Real Sociedad
Barcelona 3 - 0 Atletico
Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona 7 - 2 Newcastle
Barcelona 5 - 2 Sevilla
Newcastle 1 - 1 Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Barcelona
Barcelona 3 - 0 Atletico

Build-up

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