La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 22, 2026 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Vinicius Junior 52' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 55' goal
  • Kylian Mbappé 64' yellowcard
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold  64' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 72' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 74' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 74' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Carreras  87' yellowcard
  • goal Ademola Lookman 33'
  • yellowcard José María Giménez 46'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 57'
  • yellowcard Johnny Cardoso 57'
  • yellowcard Nico González 57'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 57'
  • goal Nahuel Molina 66'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 71'

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Elche
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.15pm
Atletico 1 - 0 Getafe
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.82% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%) , while for a Atletico Madrid win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Real Madrid 60.02%
Draw 20.82% (-0.01)
Atletico Madrid 19.19% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.11% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.6% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 18.4% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 60.4% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.6% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.61% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 61.39% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 24.71% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 75.29% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 42.12%
Draw 36.07%
Atletico Madrid 21.81%

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 58.93%
No Goal 4.51%
Atletico Madrid 36.56%

Corners

Over 8 68.39% (-0.10)
Equal 8 9.7% (-0.02)
Under 8 21.9% (+0.09)
Over 9 57.65% (-0.07)
Equal 9 10.75% (-0.02)
Under 9 31.61% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 46.7% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 53.3% (+0.03)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 59.43% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 40.57% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 33.13% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 66.87% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 15.4% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 84.6% (+0.04)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 55.93%
Under 0.5 44.07%
Over 1.5 25.05% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.95% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.4% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.6% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.5%
Under 3.5 97.5%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 60%
Draw 20.82%
Atletico Madrid 19.18%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 10.03%
1-0 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 9.04% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.6%
3-0 @ 6.07%
3-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 15.23% (-0.03)
Total : 60%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.58%
2-2 @ 5.31%
0-0 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.82%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19.18%

Head to Head

Supercopa de Espana
Jan 8, 2026 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Alinma Stadium
  • Robin Le Normand 46' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 58' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 60' yellowcard
  • Johnny Cardoso 60' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 74' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 75' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 80' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Valverde 2'
  • goal Rodrygo 55'
  • yellowcard Fran Garcia 69'
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 69'
  • yellowcard Arda Guler 81'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 87'
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 87'
La Liga
Sep 27, 2025 3.15pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Mar 12, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Conor Gallagher 1' goal
  • Giuliano Simeone 66' yellowcard
  • Clement Lenglet 68' yellowcard
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 114' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 115' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 39'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 59'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 115'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 128'
Champions League
Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Rodrygo 4' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 55' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 55' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Alvarez 32'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 8, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Dani Ceballos 25' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 50' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 35'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 49'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Robin Le Normand 63' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 70' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 75' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 90'+6' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 40'
  • goal Eder Militao 64'

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