Mar 22, 2026 8.00pm

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
L

La Liga

W
W
L
L
W
W

Last game

Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm

Real Madrid 4 - 1 Elche

Goals scored

60

Top scorer

Kylian Mbappe

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
W

La Liga

W
W
W
W
L
L

Last game

Mar 14, 2026 3.15pm

Atletico 1 - 0 Getafe

Goals scored

47

Top scorer

Alexander Sørloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw has a probability of 21.43% and a win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.78%) , while for a Atletico Madrid win it is 1-2 (5.31%).

Result

Real Madrid 57.58%

Draw 21.43%

Atletico Madrid 20.95%

Both Teams to Score:

56.79%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.54%

Under 1.5 18.46%

Over 2.5 60.36%

Under 2.5 39.64%

Over 3.5 38.47%

Under 3.5 61.53%

Over 4.5 24.35%

Under 4.5 75.65%

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 40.99%

Draw 36.6%

Atletico Madrid 22.41%

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 58.15%

No Goal 4.54%

Atletico Madrid 37.31%

Corners

Over 8 67.6%

Equal 8 9.97%

Under 8 22.42%

Over 9 56.61%

Equal 9 10.99%

Under 9 32.4%

Over 10.5 45.5%

Under 10.5 54.5%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 57.8%

Under 1.5 42.2%

Over 2.5 31.68%

Under 2.5 68.32%

Over 3.5 14.48%

Under 3.5 85.52%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 57.86%

Under 0.5 42.14%

Over 1.5 26.94%

Under 1.5 73.06%

Over 2.5 9.48%

Under 2.5 90.52%

Over 3.5 2.88%

Under 3.5 97.12%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 57.59%

Draw 21.42%

Atletico Madrid 20.95%

Real Madrid

2-1 @ 9.88%

1-0 @ 9%

2-0 @ 8.58%

3-1 @ 6.38%

3-0 @ 5.72%

3-2 @ 3.77%

Other @ 14.26%

Total : 57.59%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.78%

2-2 @ 5.55%

0-0 @ 4.54%

3-3 @ 1.33%

Other @ 0.22%

Total : 21.42%

Atletico Madrid

1-2 @ 5.31%

0-1 @ 4.88%

0-2 @ 2.83%

1-3 @ 2.19%

2-3 @ 2.11%

Other @ 2.66%

Total : 20.95%

Head to Head

Jan 8, 2026 7.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Alinma Stadium

Robin Le Normand 46'
Alexander Sorloth 58'
Antoine Griezmann 60'
Johnny Cardoso 60'
Thiago Almada 74'
Thiago Almada 75'
Nahuel Molina 80'

Federico Valverde 2'
Rodrygo 55'
Fran Garcia 69'
Ferland Mendy 69'
Arda Guler 81'
Franco Mastantuono 87'
Dani Ceballos 87'

Sep 27, 2025 3.15pm

5

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 12, 2025 8.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

ET Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Conor Gallagher 1'
Giuliano Simeone 66'
Clement Lenglet 68'
Cesar Azpilicueta 114'
Marcos Llorente 115'

Aurelien Tchouameni 39'
Vinicius Junior 59'
Lucas Vazquez 115'
Kylian Mbappe 128'

Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Rodrygo 4'
Brahim Diaz 55'
Brahim Diaz 55'

Julian Alvarez 32'

Feb 8, 2025 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Dani Ceballos 25'
Kylian Mbappe 50'

Julian Alvarez 35'
Clement Lenglet 45'+4'
Javi Galan 49'
Alexander Sorloth 90'+2'

Sep 29, 2024 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Robin Le Normand 63'
Conor Gallagher 70'
Julian Alvarez 75'
Angel Correa 90'+6'
Marcos Llorente 90'+9'

Luka Modric 40'
Eder Militao 64'

Form Data

Real Madrid 4 - 1 Elche

Real Madrid 3 - 0 Man City

Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid

Real Madrid 0 - 1 Getafe

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Benfica

Osasuna 2 - 1 Real Madrid

Atletico 1 - 0 Getafe

Atletico 5 - 2 Spurs

Atletico 3 - 2 Real Sociedad

Barcelona 3 - 0 Atletico

Real Oviedo 0 - 1 Atletico

Atletico 4 - 1 Brugge