Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.05% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%) , while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (3.23%).