Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.