Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.04% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%) , while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.