Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (9.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.