La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 11, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 5.30pm
Real Oviedo 1 - 0 Sevilla
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Djibril Sow

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 1 - 2 Barcelona
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw has a probability of 25.38% and a win for Sevilla has a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Sevilla win it is 1-0 (7.38%).

Result

Sevilla 25.32% (-0.02)
Draw 25.38% (+0.15)
Atletico Madrid 49.33% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.6% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.21% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 29.79% (+0.37)
Over 2.5 45.38% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 54.62% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 24.19% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 75.81% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 13.43% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 86.57% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Sevilla 25.58%
Draw 40.76%
Atletico Madrid 33.66%

Team To Score First

Sevilla 40.16% (-0.09)
No Goal 9.02% (+0.19)
Atletico Madrid 50.82% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.9% (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.98% (-0.02)
Under 8 32.13% (+0.15)
Over 9 43.86% (-0.10)
Equal 9 12.04% (-0.04)
Under 9 44.1% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 32.8% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 67.2% (+0.05)

Sevilla Goals

Over 1.5 25.34% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 74.66% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 9.11% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 90.89% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.65% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.35% (+0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 75.6% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 24.4% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 42.83% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 57.17% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 18.34% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 81.66% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 6.42% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 93.58% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Sevilla 25.32%
Draw 25.37%
Atletico Madrid 49.33%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 7.38% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 5.9% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.82%
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.56% (-0.01)
Total : 25.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.02% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 25.37%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 13.41% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 10% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 5.17% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.33% (-0.13)
Total : 49.33%

Head to Head

La Liga
Nov 1, 2025 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 6, 2025 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Lucien Agoume 7' goal
  • Kike Salas 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Alvarez 25'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Simeone 51'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 57'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 85'
  • goal Pablo Barrios 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2024 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Rodrigo De Paul 10' goal
  • Pablo Barrios 48' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 62' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 72' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 79' goal
  • Javi Galan 87' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 90'+4' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 12'
  • goal Isaac Romero 32'
  • yellowcard Lucien Agoume 49'
  • goal Juanlu Sanchez 57'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Fernandez 67'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 76'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Isaac Romero 15' goal
  • Suso 70' yellowcard
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 26'
Copa del Rey
Jan 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Jose Gimenez 63' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 71' yellowcard
  • Koke 75' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 79' goal
  • Diego Simeone 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Torres 33'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 39'
  • yellowcard Adria Pedrosa 62'
  • yellowcard Erik Lamela 73'
  • yellowcard Ivan Rakitic 82'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Nahuel Molina 27' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 38' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 46' goal
  • Caglar Soyuncu 70' redcard
  • Axel Witsel 77' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 77' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 85' yellowcard
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 90' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Suso 43'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 68'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 83'