Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.38% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Sevilla win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.