Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.