Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.