Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.