La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2026 5.30pm
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 6.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 8.00pm
Valencia 3 - 2 Alaves
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Valencia has a probability of 32.86% and a draw has a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Valencia win is 0-1 (10.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.22%).

Result

Real Oviedo 39.08%
Draw 28.1%
Valencia 32.86%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.82%
Under 1.5 31.18%
Over 2.5 42.98%
Under 2.5 57.02%
Over 3.5 22.29%
Under 3.5 77.71%
Over 4.5 11.35%
Under 4.5 88.65%

First Half Winner

Real Oviedo 28.32%
Draw 47%
Valencia 24.69%

Team To Score First

Real Oviedo 46.86%
No Goal 9.25%
Valencia 43.89%

Corners

Over 8 53.38%
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 34.68%
Over 9 41.62%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 46.62%
Over 10.5 31%
Under 10.5 69%

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 1.5 35.01%
Under 1.5 64.99%
Over 2.5 13.11%
Under 2.5 86.89%
Over 3.5 4.06%
Under 3.5 95.94%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 65.34%
Under 0.5 34.66%
Over 1.5 30%
Under 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 10.2%
Under 2.5 89.8%
Over 3.5 2.81%
Under 3.5 97.19%

Score analysis

Real Oviedo 39.06%
Draw 28.1%
Valencia 32.86%
Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 39.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 28.1%
Valencia
0-1 @ 10.44%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.86%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 30, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT