La Liga
Mar 14, 2026 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • David Costas 30' goal
  • Ilyas Chaira 63' yellowcard
  • Ilyas Chaira 64' yellowcard
  • Santiago Colombatto 70' yellowcard
  • Haissem Hassan 70' yellowcard
  • Santi Cazorla 85' yellowcard
  • Dani Calvo 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 56'
  • yellowcard André Almeida 56'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 56'
  • yellowcard Diego López 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beltrán 80'

Real Oviedo vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2026 8.00pm
Espanyol 1 - 1 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 8.00pm
Valencia 3 - 2 Alaves
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Real Oviedo 39.44%
Draw 28.16% (-0.02)
Valencia 32.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.29%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 31.69% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.38%
Under 2.5 57.62%
Over 3.5 21.78%
Under 3.5 78.22%
Over 4.5 11.04%
Under 4.5 88.96%

First Half Winner

Real Oviedo 28.32%
Draw 47%
Valencia 24.69%

Team To Score First

Real Oviedo 46.76%
No Goal 9.43%
Valencia 43.81%

Corners

Over 8 53.39%
Equal 8 11.95%
Under 8 34.66%
Over 9 41.63%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 46.61%
Over 10.5 31.01% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 68.99% (-0.02)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 1.5 34.92% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.08% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.03%
Under 2.5 86.97%
Over 3.5 4.02%
Under 3.5 95.98%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 64.69% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.31% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.69% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 9.85%
Under 2.5 90.15%
Over 3.5 2.69%
Under 3.5 97.31%

Score analysis

Real Oviedo 39.43%
Draw 28.16%
Valencia 32.39%
Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 39.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 28.16%
Valencia
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.39%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 30, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT

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