La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2026 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Javi Guerra 47' goal
  • Arnaut Danjuma 70' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 74' yellowcard
  • Thierry Correia 82' yellowcard
  • Dani Raba 82' yellowcard
  • Diego López 82' yellowcard
  • André Almeida 82' yellowcard
  • André Almeida 83' yellowcard
  • Eray Cömert 90' goal
  • Hugo Duro 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Boyé 3'
  • yellowcard Youssef Enríquez 30'
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 68'
  • yellowcard Denis Suárez 68'
  • yellowcard Denis Suárez 69'
  • goal Lucas Boyé 71'
  • yellowcard Mariano Díaz 84'

Valencia vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 3.15pm
Valencia 1 - 0 Osasuna
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.00pm
Levante 2 - 0 Alaves
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Lucas Boye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (9.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Valencia 44.23%
Draw 27.47% (-0.04)
Alaves 28.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.26% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.54% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 31.46% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 42.64% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 57.36% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 21.75% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 78.25% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 11.24% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 88.76% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Valencia 26.9%
Draw 48.21% (-0.01)
Alaves 24.88%

Team To Score First

Valencia 46.71% (+0.04)
No Goal 9.4% (-0.05)
Alaves 43.89% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.56% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.02% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.42% (-0.01)
Over 9 43.51% (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.05%
Under 9 44.44% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 32.48% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 67.52% (-0.05)

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 38.36% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.64% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 15.34% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 84.66% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.05% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.95% (-0.04)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 60.76% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 39.24% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 26.03% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 73.97% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 8.11% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.89% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.13% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.87% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Valencia 44.22%
Draw 27.47%
Alaves 28.27%
Valencia
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.66% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-1 @ 3.8% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
Other @ 5% (+0.05)
Total : 44.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.4% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.52% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 27.47%
Alaves
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.72% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.08% (+0.02)
Total : 28.27%

Head to Head

La Liga
Oct 20, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 14, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Facundo Garces 69' yellowcard
  • Joan Jordan 79' goal
  • Carlos Benavidez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mourino 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Joan Jordan 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 41'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Mamardashvili 75'
  • yellowcard Max Aarons 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2024 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Luis Rioja 70' goal
  • Cristhian Mosquera 86' yellowcard
  • Dani Gomez 90'+8' goal
  • Pepelu 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Martin 7'
  • yellowcard Carlos Martin 22'
  • goal Joan Jordan 88'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ciudad Deportiva del VCF de Paterna Campo 4
  • goal Tomas Conechny 58'
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Hugo Duro 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Blanco 11'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Tenaglia 22'
  • goal Javi Lopez 68'
  • yellowcard Samu Omorodion 77'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Cenk Ozkacar 6' goal
  • Jon Guridi 38' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ander Guevara 82' yellowcard
  • Carlos Benavidez 89' yellowcard
  • Luis Garcia 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Gaya 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mouctar Diakhaby 86'