Apr 18, 2026 8.00pm

2

2

ET Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla

Ademola Lookman 18'
Nico González 62'
Alexander Sørloth 62'
Alexander Sørloth 63'
Álex Baena 70'
Thiago Almada 70'
Johnny Cardoso 78'
Julián Alvarez 83'
Clément Lenglet 99'

Ander Barrenetxea 1'
Mikel Oyarzabal 45'+1'
Jon Gorrotxategi 68'
Pablo Marín 68'
Pablo Marín 69'
Aihen Muñoz 78'
Orri Óskarsson 78'
78'
Takefusa Kubo 88'
Aritz Elustondo 113'

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Atletico vs Real Sociedad - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Atletico vs Real Sociedad - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 16 Apr 2026 09:22

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

L
L
W
L
L
L

Real Sociedad

All competitions

D
W
L
W
L
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Madrid 38.8% ▼ (-1.81)

Draw 24.3% ▲ (+0.11)

Real Sociedad 36.9% ▲ (+1.61)

Both Teams to Score:

60.4% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.15% ▼ (-0.23)

Under 1.5 19.85% ▲ (+0.24)

Over 2.5 57.8% ▼ (-0.21)

Under 2.5 42.2% ▲ (+0.31)

Over 3.5 35.4% ▼ (-0.21)

Under 3.5 64.6% ▲ (+0.30)

Over 4.5 20.66% ▼ (-0.20)

Under 4.5 79.34% ▲ (+0.21)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 42.5% ▼ (-1.61)

Under 1.5 57.5% ▲ (+1.61)

Over 2.5 18.82% ▼ (-1.13)

Under 2.5 81.18% ▲ (+1.14)

Over 3.5 6.78% ▼ (-0.57)

Under 3.5 93.22% ▲ (+0.57)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 72.29% ▲ (+1.11)

Under 0.5 27.71% ▼ (-1.11)

Over 1.5 40.91% ▲ (+1.26)

Under 1.5 59.09% ▼ (-1.26)

Over 2.5 17.69% ▲ (+0.88)

Under 2.5 82.31% ▼ (-0.88)

Over 3.5 6.23% ▲ (+0.43)

Under 3.5 93.77% ▼ (-0.43)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 38.79%

Draw 24.3%

Real Sociedad 36.89%

Atletico Madrid

2-1 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.21)

1-0 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.17)

2-0 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.32)

3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.23)

3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.09)

3-0 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.23)

Other @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.59)

Total : 38.79%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.07)

2-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.04)

3-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 24.3%

Real Sociedad

1-2 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.23)

0-1 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.21)

0-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.26)

1-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.20)

2-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.07)

0-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.21)

Other @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.42)

Total : 36.89%

Head to Head

Mar 7, 2026 5.30pm

3

2

HT : 1 1

FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Alexander Sørloth 5'
Marcos Llorente 45'
Marcos Llorente 46'
Julián Alvarez 53'
Antoine Griezmann 53'
Nico González 54'
Antoine Griezmann 54'
Johnny Cardoso 61'
Nico González 67'
Nico González 81'

Carlos Soler 9'
Pablo Marín 55'
Gonçalo Guedes 55'
Mikel Oyarzabal 56'
Arsen Zakharyan 65'
Mikel Oyarzabal 68'
Brais Méndez 74'
Beñat Turrientes 74'

Jan 4, 2026 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Anoeta Stadium

Gonçalo Guedes 55'
Pablo Marín 72'
Ander Barrenetxea 72'
Orri Óskarsson 88'
Arsen Zakharyan 89'

Conor Gallagher 46'
Robin Le Normand 46'
Alexander Sørloth 50'
Johnny Cardoso 60'
Antoine Griezmann 60'
Giacomo Raspadori 72'

May 10, 2025 8.00pm

4

0

HT : 4 0

FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Alexander Sorloth 7'
Alexander Sorloth 10'
Alexander Sorloth 11'
Alexander Sorloth 30'

Ander Barrenetxea 54'

Oct 6, 2024 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Reale Arena

Luka Sucic 84'

Julian Alvarez 1'
Clement Lenglet 55'
Javi Galan 80'
Diego Simeone 88'

May 25, 2024 3.15pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Reale Arena

Jon Pacheco 45'+2'
Brais Mendez 57'
Jon Ander Olasagasti 90'

Samuel Lino 9'
Arthur Vermeeren 41'
Koke 45'
Saul Niguez 80'
Reinildo Mandava 87'
Saul Niguez 90'+1'
Reinildo Mandava 90'+3'

Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Samuel Lino 22'
Koke 48'
Antoine Griezmann 89'
Javi Galan 90'+6'
Antoine Griezmann 90'+6'

Robin Le Normand 15'
Mikel Oyarzabal 73'
Hamari Traore 86'
Carlos Fernandez 87'

Form Data

Atletico 1 - 2 Barcelona

Sevilla 2 - 1 Atletico

Barcelona 0 - 2 Atletico

Atletico 1 - 2 Barcelona

Real Madrid 3 - 2 Atletico

Spurs 3 - 2 Atletico

Real Sociedad 3 - 3 Alaves

Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Levante

Villarreal 3 - 1 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Osasuna

Atletico 3 - 2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao