Apr 11, 2026 1.00pm

3

3

HT : 2 2

FT Anoeta Stadium

Luka Sucic 14'
Antonio Sivera 27'
Gonçalo Guedes 45'
Gonçalo Guedes 46'
Takefusa Kubo 54'
Orri Óskarsson 60'
Pablo Marín 72'
Luken Beitia 86'
Aihen Muñoz 86'

Duje Caleta-Car 3' (OG)
Ibrahim Diabaté 24'
Lucas Boyé 60'
Carles Aleñá 66'
Ander Guevara 66'
Denis Suárez 86'
Lucas Boyé 90'+7'

Real Sociedad vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Real Sociedad vs Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Real Sociedad vs Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 09 Apr 2026 18:30

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

W
L
W
L
W
W

La Liga

W
L
W
L
W
D

Last game

Apr 4, 2026 1.00pm

Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Levante

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Goncalo Guedes

Alaves

All competitions

D
W
D
L
L
D

La Liga

D
W
D
L
L
D

Last game

Apr 5, 2026 8.00pm

Alaves 2 - 2 Osasuna

Goals scored

34

Top scorer

Lucas Boye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.56% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.33%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%) , while for a Alaves win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Real Sociedad 55.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 24.56%

Alaves 20.08% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score:

52.09% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 24.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 50.99%

Under 2.5 49.01%

Over 3.5 28.3% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 71.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 4.5 16.02%

Under 4.5 83.98%

First Half Winner

Real Sociedad 36.95%

Draw 42.55%

Alaves 20.5%

Team To Score First

Real Sociedad 58.55% ▼ (-0.02)

No Goal 6.85% ▲ (+0.01)

Alaves 34.6%

Corners

Over 8 63.33% ▼ (-0.18)

Equal 8 10.99%

Under 8 25.68% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 9 51.61% ▼ (-0.18)

Equal 9 11.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 9 36.67% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 10.5 40.19% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 10.5 59.81% ▲ (+0.15)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 1.5 51.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 48.88% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 24.42%

Under 2.5 75.58%

Over 3.5 9.18%

Under 3.5 90.82%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 56.59% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 0.5 43.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 1.5 22.99% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 77.01% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 6.76% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 93.24% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 3.5 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 98.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 55.32%

Draw 24.56%

Alaves 20.09%

Real Sociedad

1-0 @ 11.79% ▼ (-0.02)

2-1 @ 10.33%

2-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.03)

3-0 @ 5.8%

3-1 @ 5.63%

3-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 55.32%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.59% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.01%

Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 24.56%

Alaves

0-1 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 5.58%

0-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.03)

1-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 1.47%

Other @ 1.56%

Total : 20.09%

Head to Head

Feb 4, 2026 8.00pm

2

3

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio de Mendizorroza

Abde Rebbach 8'
Toni Martinez 29'
Toni Martínez 29'
Toni Martinez 67'
Toni Martínez 67'
Lucas Boye 71'
Pablo Ibanez 71'
Lucas Boyé 71'
Pablo Ibáñez 71'
Carles Alena 84'
Angel Pérez Hidalgo 84'
Carles Aleñá 84'
Ángel Pérez 84'
Jon Guridi 90'+1'

Mikel Oyarzabal 15'
Alvaro Odriozola 59'
Luka Sucic 59'
Álvaro Odriozola 59'
Alvaro Odriozola 60'
Luka Sucic 60'
Orri Oskarsson 74'
74'
Daniel Díaz Gándara 74'
Dani Díaz 74'
Orri Óskarsson 74'
Goncalo Guedes 76'
Gonçalo Guedes 76'
Orri Oskarsson 80'
Orri Óskarsson 80'
Igor Zubeldia 90'+2'

Dec 6, 2025 3.15pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Lucas Boye 45'+4'
Ander Guevara 62'
Nahuel Tenaglia 69'

Jon Gorrotxategi Etxaniz 29'
Jon Aramburu 39'

Apr 23, 2025 8.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio de Mendizorroza

Carlos Vicente 36'
Tomas Conechny 47'
Nahuel Tenaglia 65'
Antonio Sivera 90'+1'
Antonio Blanco 90'+2'

Jon Aramburu 30'
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta 80'
Orri Oskarsson 90'+1'
Luka Sucic 90'+2'
Aritz Elustondo 90'+5'

Aug 28, 2024 8.30pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Reale Arena

Jon Pacheco 16'
Mikel Oyarzabal 29'
Brais Mendez 32'
Igor Zubeldia 36'
Takefusa Kubo 90'+7'
Jon Martin Vicente 90'+7'

Stoichkov 48'
Abde Rebbach 49'
Asier Villalibre 45'+5'
Toni Martinez 77'
Antonio Sivera 90'
Manu Sanchez 90'+7'

Jul 20, 2024 5.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio de Mendizorroza

Kike 11'
66'

Brais Mendez 29'

Mar 31, 2024 5.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio de Mendizorroza

Ander Guevara 62'
Abdel Abqar 86'

Jon Pacheco 59'
Mikel Merino 80'
Jon Pacheco 89'

Form Data

Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Levante

Villarreal 3 - 1 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Osasuna

Atletico 3 - 2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao

Mallorca 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

Alaves 2 - 2 Osasuna

Celta Vigo 3 - 4 Alaves

Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal

Valencia 3 - 2 Alaves

Levante 2 - 0 Alaves

Alaves 2 - 2 Girona