Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%) , while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.