/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Falalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fosalog.png)
-
Toni Martínez
44'
-
Abde Rebbach
46'
-
Carles Aleñá
46'
-
Ander Guevara
73'
-
Lucas Boyé
81'
-
Lucas Boyé
82'
-
Lucas Boyé
90'+1'
-
Valentin Rosier
4'
-
Víctor Muñoz
60'
-
Víctor Muñoz
61'
-
Abel Bretones
77'
-
Raúl García
77'
-
Iker Muñoz
77'
-
Raúl García
78'
-
Iker Muñoz
78'
-
Ante Budimir
80'
-
Ante Budimir
81'
-
Jorge Herrando
85'
-
Jorge Herrando
86'
Alaves vs Osasuna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F09%2Faaa-os-68d255078f24a458954163.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result
Alaves
39.6%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
28.15%
▲
(+0.08)
Osasuna
32.32%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
50.65%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 1.5
70.17%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
29.83%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
44.3%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
55.7%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
22.96%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 3.5
77.04%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 4.5
11.56%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
88.44%
▲
(+0.15)
First Half Winner
Alaves
30.67%
Draw
46.17%
Osasuna
23.16%
Team To Score First
Alaves
49.57%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
8.75%
▲
(+0.08)
Osasuna
41.68%
▼
(-0.04)
Corners
Over 8
60.41%
▼
(-0.22)
Equal 8
11.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
28.06%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 9
48.39%
▼
(-0.21)
Equal 9
12.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
39.59%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 10.5
36.96%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 10.5
63.05%
▲
(+0.17)
Alaves Goals
Over 1.5
36.13%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
63.87%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 2.5
13.56%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
86.44%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
4.02%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
95.98%
▲
(+0.08)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5
66.1%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
33.9%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
30.6%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
69.4%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
10.18%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
89.82%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
2.8%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
97.2%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Alaves
39.6%
Draw
28.15%
Osasuna
32.3%
Alaves
1-0
@
11.27%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 39.6%
2-1 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 39.6%
Draw
1-1
@
13.41%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 28.15%
0-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 28.15%
Osasuna
0-1
@
9.86%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.3%
1-2 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.3%
