Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%) , while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.