La Liga
Celta Vigo
Mar 22, 2026 3.15pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio de Balaídos
Alaves
  • Ferran Jutglà 19' goal
  • Hugo Álvarez 27' goal
  • Ferran Jutglà 37' goal
  • Sergio Carreira 54' yellowcard
  • Fer López 54' yellowcard
  • Javi Rueda 69' yellowcard
  • Pablo Durán 69' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Guridi 46'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Diabaté 46'
  • yellowcard Abde Rebbach 46'
  • yellowcard Denis Suárez 46'
  • goal Toni Martínez 45'+3'
  • goal Ángel Pérez 50'
  • goal Toni Martínez 74'
  • goal Abde Rebbach 78'
  • yellowcard Ville Koski 90'+4'

Celta Vigo vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 5.30pm
Betis 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 8.00pm
Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Lucas Boye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.22% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%) , while for a Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.99%).

Result

Celta Vigo 49.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Alaves 24.35% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.23% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.51% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 29.49% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 44.8% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 55.2% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 23.47% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 76.49% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 12.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.23% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 32.42%
Draw 44.52%
Alaves 23.06%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 52.16% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 8.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Alaves 39.19% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.17%
Equal 8 12.18%
Under 8 34.65%
Over 9 41.2%
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 46.83%
Over 10.5 30.42%
Under 10.5 69.58%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 43.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 56.74% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 18.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 81.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.36% ▲ (+0.05)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 57.62% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 42.38% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 23.74% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 76.26% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 7.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 49.39%
Draw 26.22%
Alaves 24.36%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.82% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 49.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.22%
Alaves
0-1 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.36%

Head to Head

La Liga
Alaves
Nov 22, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Celta Vigo
La Liga Gameweek 21
Alaves
Jan 27, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Celta Vigo
  • Kike 6' goal
  • Abdel Abqar 78' yellowcard
  • Kike 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 34'
  • yellowcard Mihailo Ristic 64'
  • goal Pablo Duran Fernandez 66'
  • yellowcard Hugo Alvarez 81'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
Aug 16, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Alaves
  • Iago Aspas 9' yellowcard
  • Claudio Giraldez Gonzalez 61' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 66' goal
  • Iago Aspas 84' goal
  • Damian Rodriguez 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kike 17'
  • yellowcard Tomas Conechny 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Damian Rodriguez 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Alaves
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Celta Vigo
  • Ruben Duarte 19' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 22' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Simeone 48' goal
  • Jon Guridi 54' goal
  • Antonio Sivera 78' yellowcard
  • Carlos Benavidez 86' goal
  • yellowcard Carles Perez 21'
  • yellowcard Oscar Mingueza 85'
  • yellowcard Hugo Alvarez 88'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
Sep 28, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Alaves
  • Luca de la Torre 15' yellowcard
  • Rafa Marin 35' goal
  • Iago Aspas 52' yellowcard
  • Fran Beltran 52' yellowcard
  • Luca de la Torre 68' redcard
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 69' yellowcard
  • Carles Perez 75' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Omorodion 73'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 78'
  • yellowcard Rafa Marin 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Alaves
  • Thiago Galhardo 6' goal
  • Iago Aspas 34' goal
  • Franco Cervi 42' yellowcard
  • Ximo Navarro 57' goal
  • Iago Aspas 66' goal
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 24'
  • yellowcard Tomas Pina 38'
  • yellowcard Edgar Mendez 53'
  • redcard Ximo Navarro 64'

Form Data

Lyon 0 - 2 Celta Vigo
Betis 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Lyon
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Girona 1 - 2 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 PAOK
Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal
Valencia 3 - 2 Alaves
Levante 2 - 0 Alaves
Alaves 2 - 2 Girona
Sevilla 1 - 1 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 2 Getafe