Europa League
Mar 19, 2026 5.45pm
Groupama Stadium

Lyon vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Lyon

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw has a probability of 25.01% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.81%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it is 0-1 (7.18%).

Result

Lyon 51.3% (+0.60)
Draw 25.01% (+0.15)
Celta Vigo 23.69% (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.33% (-1.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.78% (-0.85)
Under 1.5 26.22% (+0.85)
Over 2.5 49.24% (-1.05)
Under 2.5 50.76% (+1.05)
Over 3.5 27.08% (-0.82)
Under 3.5 72.92% (+0.86)
Over 4.5 15.34% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 84.66% (+0.48)

First Half Winner

Lyon 36.28% (-0.05)
Draw 41.99%
Celta Vigo 21.73% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Lyon 58.28% (+0.81)
No Goal 7.33% (+0.34)
Celta Vigo 34.39% (-1.14)

Corners

Over 8 49.79% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.75% (-0.09)
Under 8 38.46%
Over 9 38.54% (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.08)
Under 9 50.21% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 28.63% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 71.37% (-0.22)

Lyon Goals

Over 1.5 47.04% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 52.96% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 21.7% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 78.3% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.11% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.89% (+0.02)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 58.73% (-1.12)
Under 0.5 41.27% (+1.12)
Over 1.5 25.12% (-1.13)
Under 1.5 74.88% (+1.13)
Over 2.5 7.95% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 92.05% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 2.15% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 97.85% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Lyon 51.3%
Draw 25.01%
Celta Vigo 23.69%
Lyon
1-0 @ 11.71% (+0.43)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.19% (+0.27)
3-0 @ 5.06% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.08)
Other @ 7.98% (-0.01)
Total : 51.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.33% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.01%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 7.18% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.02% (-0.23)
Total : 23.69%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Javi Rueda 25' goal
  • Sergio Carreira 46' yellowcard
  • Ferran Jutglà 46' yellowcard
  • Mihailo Ristic 63' yellowcard
  • Pablo Durán 66' yellowcard
  • Pablo Durán 67' yellowcard
  • Hugo Sotelo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rémi Himbert 67'
  • yellowcard Adam Karabec 70'
  • yellowcard Adil Hamdani 85'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 85'
  • yellowcard Tanner Tessmann 85'
  • goal Endrick 87'