Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
Groupama Stadium

Lyon vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 3 - 2 Lyon
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pavel Sulc

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
Paris FC 1 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw has a probability of 21.86% and a win for Paris FC has a probability of 17.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.56%) and 2-0 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.22%) , while for a Paris FC win it is 0-1 (4.9%).

Result

Lyon 60.91% (+0.04)
Draw 21.86%
Paris FC 17.3% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.58% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.41% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 21.59% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 55.3% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 44.7% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 32.43% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 67.57% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 20.02% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 79.98% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Lyon 43.18%
Draw 38.77%
Paris FC 18.05%

Team To Score First

Lyon 64.43% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.67% (-0.01)
Paris FC 29.9%

Corners

Over 8 54.26%
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 34.01%
Over 9 42.65%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 45.74%
Over 10.5 32.07%
Under 10.5 67.93%

Lyon Goals

Over 1.5 57.23% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 42.77% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 29.87% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 70.13% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 13.08% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 86.92% (-0.04)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 53.15% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 46.85% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 21.37% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 78.63% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 6.53% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.69% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.31% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Lyon 60.92%
Draw 21.87%
Paris FC 17.31%
Lyon
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.56%
2-0 @ 10.55%
3-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.9% (+0.05)
Total : 60.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.87%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 4.9%
1-2 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Total : 17.31%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 29, 2025 8.05pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT