Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Groupama Stadium
  • Roman Yaremchuk 58' yellowcard
  • Corentin Tolisso 58' yellowcard
  • Endrick 65' yellowcard
  • Noah Nartey 65' yellowcard
  • Adil Hamdani 82' yellowcard
  • Corentin Tolisso 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Marshall Munetsi 63'
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 73'
  • yellowcard Luca Koleosho 73'
  • yellowcard Alimami Gory 73'
  • yellowcard Vincent Marchetti 87'
  • yellowcard Tuomas Ollila 90'+1'

Lyon vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 3 - 2 Lyon
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Pavel Sulc

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
Paris FC 1 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.83% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 18.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.39%) and 2-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Paris FC win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Lyon 58.34% (-0.17)
Draw 22.83% (+0.10)
Paris FC 18.83% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.42% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.31% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 22.69% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 53.72% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 46.28% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 31.19% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 68.81% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 18.69% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 81.31% (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Lyon 40.65%
Draw 40.04%
Paris FC 19.31%

Team To Score First

Lyon 61.91% (-0.05)
No Goal 5.98% (+0.08)
Paris FC 32.11% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.38% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.54% (-0.03)
Under 8 32.08% (+0.20)
Over 9 44.75% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.03)
Under 9 43.62% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 33.99% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 66% (+0.10)

Lyon Goals

Over 1.5 54.71% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 45.29% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 27.68% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 72.32% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 11.62% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 88.38% (+0.25)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 54.98% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 45.02% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 22.38% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 77.62% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 6.85% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.15% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.71% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.29% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Lyon 58.34%
Draw 22.82%
Paris FC 18.83%
Lyon
1-0 @ 11.22% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 10.39% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.21% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.46% (-0.24)
Total : 58.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.98% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 22.82%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 5.48% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.07% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.55% (-0.03)
Total : 18.83%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 29, 2025 8.05pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT