Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.