Ligue 1
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Jean Bouin
  • Marshall Munetsi 26' goal
  • Rudy Matondo 70' yellowcard
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 70' yellowcard
  • Alimami Gory 80' yellowcard
  • Nhoa Sangui 80' yellowcard
  • Vincent Marchetti 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaïl Boudache 46'
  • yellowcard Tiago Gouveia 67'
  • yellowcard Gabin Bernardeau 67'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Ndombélé 88'

Paris FC vs Nice - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 1 Paris FC
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Nice

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.15pm
Nice 3 - 3 Lorient
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Paris FC 43.83%
Draw 26.19% (+0.09)
Nice 29.95% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.19% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.48% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 27.52% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 48.12% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 51.88% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 26.59% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 73.41% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 14.24% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 85.76% (+0.50)

First Half Winner

Paris FC 35.99% (-0.01)
Draw 38.59%
Nice 25.43% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Paris FC 52.52% (+0.10)
No Goal 7.55% (-0.01)
Nice 39.93% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.1% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.49% (+0.09)
Under 8 30.41% (-0.22)
Over 9 46.36% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.09)
Under 9 41.9% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 35.36% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 64.64% (+0.05)

Paris FC Goals

Over 1.5 40.74% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 59.26% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 16.4% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 83.6% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 5.58% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 94.42% (+0.27)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5 64.61% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 35.39% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 30.41% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 69.59% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 10.63% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 89.37% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 3.3% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 96.7% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Paris FC 43.83%
Draw 26.19%
Nice 29.95%
Paris FC
1-0 @ 11.5% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.32% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.56%
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.54% (-0.23)
Total : 43.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.04)
Total : 26.19%
Nice
0-1 @ 8.44% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.57% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.26% (-0.17)
Total : 29.95%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Sep 28, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT