Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.