Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 2-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.