Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Lyon

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 36.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win is 2-1 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result

Celta Vigo 36.25%
Draw 24.82%
Lyon 38.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.49%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.08%
Under 1.5 21.92%
Over 2.5 55.49%
Under 2.5 44.51%
Over 3.5 33.25%
Under 3.5 66.75%
Over 4.5 19.3%
Under 4.5 80.7%

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 27.48%
Draw 42.49%
Lyon 30.03%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 44.32%
No Goal 5.78%
Lyon 49.9%

Corners

Over 8 49.16%
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 39.23%
Over 9 38.1%
Equal 9 11.07%
Under 9 50.84%
Over 10.5 28.36%
Under 10.5 71.64%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 38.95%
Under 1.5 61.05%
Over 2.5 16.59%
Under 2.5 83.41%
Over 3.5 5.72%
Under 3.5 94.28%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 72.85%
Under 0.5 27.15%
Over 1.5 41.25%
Under 1.5 58.75%
Over 2.5 17.98%
Under 2.5 82.02%
Over 3.5 6.62%
Under 3.5 93.38%

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 36.24%
Draw 24.82%
Lyon 38.97%
Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 8.12%
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.72%
Other @ 5.47%
Total : 36.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.82%
Lyon
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-1 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.92%
Other @ 6.37%
Total : 38.97%