Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Javi Rueda 25' goal
  • Sergio Carreira 46' yellowcard
  • Ferran Jutglà 46' yellowcard
  • Mihailo Ristic 63' yellowcard
  • Pablo Durán 66' yellowcard
  • Pablo Durán 67' yellowcard
  • Hugo Sotelo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rémi Himbert 67'
  • yellowcard Adam Karabec 70'
  • yellowcard Adil Hamdani 85'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 85'
  • yellowcard Tanner Tessmann 85'
  • goal Endrick 87'

Celta Vigo vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Lyon

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 2-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 37.39% (+0.04)
Draw 24.66%
Lyon 37.92% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.49%
Under 1.5 21.51%
Over 2.5 56.23% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.77% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.99%
Under 3.5 66.01%
Over 4.5 19.88% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.12% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 27.48%
Draw 42.49%
Lyon 30.03%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 44.4%
No Goal 5.63%
Lyon 49.97%

Corners

Over 8 49.39%
Equal 8 11.46%
Under 8 39.15%
Over 9 38.44%
Equal 9 10.95%
Under 9 50.61%
Over 10.5 28.78%
Under 10.5 71.22%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 40.31% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.69% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.61% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.39% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.24% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.76% (-0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 72.23% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.77% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.76% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.24% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 17.69% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 82.31% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.51% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.49% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 37.39%
Draw 24.66%
Lyon 37.91%
Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 8.27% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.97% (+0.01)
Total : 37.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.66%
Lyon
1-2 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.78%
Other @ 6.24% (-0.01)
Total : 37.91%