La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 13, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 8.00pm
Valencia 3 - 2 Alaves
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Lucas Boye

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 1.00pm
Villarreal 2 - 1 Elche
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Georges Mikautadze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alaves win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 36.6% and a draw has a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 0-1 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).

Result

Alaves 37.45% (-0.34)
Draw 25.98% (+0.18)
Villarreal 36.6% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.97% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.08% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 23.92% (+0.57)
Over 2.5 52.86% (-0.92)
Under 2.5 47.14% (+0.92)
Over 3.5 30.63% (-1.08)
Under 3.5 69.34% (+1.05)
Over 4.5 17.46% (-0.95)
Under 4.5 82.54% (+0.96)

First Half Winner

Alaves 30.72%
Draw 43.37%
Villarreal 25.91%

Team To Score First

Alaves 48.61% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.64% (+0.16)
Villarreal 44.75% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.23% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 32.02%
Over 9 44.41% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 43.77% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 33.5% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 66.5% (+0.02)

Alaves Goals

Over 1.5 38.49% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 61.51% (+0.77)
Over 2.5 15.8% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 84.2% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 5.29% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 94.71% (+0.41)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 70.77% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.23% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.21% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 61.79% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 15.92% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 84.08% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 5.65% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 94.35% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Alaves 37.46%
Draw 25.98%
Villarreal 36.58%
Alaves
1-0 @ 8.93% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.43% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.11)
Other @ 5.14% (-0.38)
Total : 37.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.64% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.05)
Total : 25.98%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 8.37% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 8.32% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.43% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 2.7% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.09)
Other @ 5.5% (-0.27)
Total : 36.58%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 10, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio de la Cerámica
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2025 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Manu Sanchez 11' goal
  • Antonio Sivera 58' redcard
  • Antonio Blanco 77' yellowcard
  • Adrian Rodriguez Gimenez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diarra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 70'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Ilias Akhomach 38' goal
  • Sergi Cardona 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 81' goal
  • Santi Comesana 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 62'
  • yellowcard Carlos Martin 74'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Tenaglia 83'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Samu Omorodion 25' goal
  • Luis Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Cuenca 42'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cuenca 44'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 71'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Alfonso Pedraza 9' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 23' yellowcard
  • Kiko Femenia 35' yellowcard
  • Santi Comesana 58' yellowcard
  • Gerard Moreno 65' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 14'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sivera 33'
  • yellowcard Abdel Abqar 36'
  • goal Samu Omorodion 48'
La Liga Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2022 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Victor Laguardia 4' goal
  • Gonzalo Escalante 31' goal
  • Manu Garcia 52' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Escalante 69' yellowcard
  • Victor Laguardia 80' yellowcard
  • Ruben Duarte 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jason 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boulaye Dia 41'
  • goal Samuel Chukwueze 47'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 76'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 86'