Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alaves win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 36.6% and a draw has a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 0-1 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).