La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2026 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • David Affengruber 18' goal
  • André Silva 33' yellowcard
  • Víctor Chust 60' yellowcard
  • Martim Neto 65' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Rodríguez 65' yellowcard
  • Josan 67' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cepeda 67' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Rodríguez 67' yellowcard
  • André Silva 75' goal
  • Pedro Bigas 82' yellowcard
  • goal Nico González 10'
  • goal Nico González 34'
  • yellowcard Marc Pubill 46'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 46'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 60'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 62'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 62'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Simeone 62'

Elche vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.15pm
Elche 1 - 0 Valencia
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
German Valera

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 8.00pm
Sevilla 2 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Elche had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Elche 36.48% (-0.03)
Draw 25.03% (-0.04)
Atletico Madrid 38.46% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.88% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.55% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.52%
Under 2.5 47.48%
Over 3.5 30.55% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.45% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.72% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.28% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Elche 34.16% (+0.12)
Draw 40.64% (-0.16)
Atletico Madrid 25.2% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Elche 51.06% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.03% (-0.01)
Atletico Madrid 41.91% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.94% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.93%
Under 8 29.13% (-0.05)
Over 9 46.65% (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.3% (+0.02)
Under 9 41.06% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 35.1% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.89% (-0.05)

Elche Goals

Over 1.5 37.62% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.38% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.74% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.26% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 6.23%
Under 3.5 93.77%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 71.01% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.99% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 38.66%
Under 1.5 61.34%
Over 2.5 15.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.31%
Under 3.5 94.69%

Score analysis

Elche 36.49%
Draw 25.03%
Atletico Madrid 38.46%
Elche
1-0 @ 8.1%
2-1 @ 8.05% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.7%
Other @ 6.01%
Total : 36.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 25.03%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.11% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 38.46%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 23, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa del Rey
Jan 15, 2025 8.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero
  • Agustin Alvarez 7' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Fernandez 32' yellowcard
  • John Nwankwo 34' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Fernandez 50' redcard
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 8'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 29'
  • goal Rodrigo Riquelme 61'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 69'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 75'
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 14, 2023 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Fidel 41' goal
La Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 29, 2022 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Joao Felix 56' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 74' goal
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 11, 2022 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pere Milla 7' yellowcard
  • Pedro Bigas 40' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Cunha 28'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 35'
  • goal Rodrigo De Paul 62'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2021 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Angel Correa 39' goal
  • Luis Suarez 90' yellowcard
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo 65'
  • yellowcard Dario Benedetto 87'