La Liga
Apr 11, 2026 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • John Donald 64' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Rodríguez 64' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cepeda 72' yellowcard
  • Adrià Pedrosa 72' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cepeda 73' goal
  • Germán Valera 82' yellowcard
  • Víctor Chust 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 60'
  • yellowcard Diego López 61'
  • yellowcard Pepelu 75'
  • yellowcard Jesús Vázquez 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beltrán 81'
  • yellowcard Arnaut Danjuma 81'

Elche vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Elche
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
German Valera

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 3.15pm
Valencia 2 - 3 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.04% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%) , while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Elche 45.54%
Draw 28.04%
Valencia 26.49% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.65% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.35% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 30.65% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 44.04% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.96% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.1% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.9%
Over 4.5 12.23% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.77% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Elche 32.66%
Draw 44.55%
Valencia 22.79%

Team To Score First

Elche 51.82%
No Goal 9.5% (-0.01)
Valencia 38.68% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.24%
Equal 8 12.84%
Under 8 34.92%
Over 9 39.68%
Equal 9 12.56%
Under 9 47.76%
Over 10.5 28.52%
Under 10.5 71.48%

Elche Goals

Over 1.5 40.35% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.65% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.41% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.59% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.32%
Under 3.5 94.68%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 60.43% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 39.57% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 26.05% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 73.95% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.33% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.2%
Under 3.5 97.8%

Score analysis

Elche 45.54%
Draw 28.02%
Valencia 26.49%
Elche
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.17% (+0.01)
Total : 45.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 28.02%
Valencia
0-1 @ 8.55%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.18% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.05% (+0.01)
Total : 26.49%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Dimitri Foulquier 17' yellowcard
  • Arnaut Danjuma 65' yellowcard
  • Umar Sadiq 65' yellowcard
  • Javi Guerra 77' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 77' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 78' yellowcard
  • Pepelu 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Affengruber 60'
  • yellowcard Adam Boayar 60'
  • yellowcard Grady Diangana 74'
  • yellowcard Adria Pedrosa 74'
  • goal Grady Diangana 75'
  • yellowcard Federico Redondo 83'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • goal Samuel Lino 19'
  • goal Gonzalo 42' (OG)
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 15, 2022 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Edinson Cavani 41' goal
  • Edinson Cavani 45'+7' goal
  • goal Pere Milla 29'
  • goal Pere Milla 65'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 19, 2022 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antonio Barragan 8' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Johan Mojica 90'+2' redcard
  • Fidel 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 27'
  • yellowcard Mouctar Diakhaby 39'
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 50'
  • yellowcard Bryan Gil 65'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Goncalo Guedes 23' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Wass 48' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Piccini 86' goal
  • Dimitri Foulquier 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tete Morente 41'
  • goal Lucas Boye 75'
  • yellowcard Enzo Roco 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Wass 22' goal
  • Daniel Wass 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo 3'
  • yellowcard Antonio Barragan 33'
  • yellowcard Tete Morente 42'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 48'
  • yellowcard Diego Gonzalez 65'
  • yellowcard Cifu 74'
  • yellowcard Victor Rodriguez 90'+1'