La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 1.00pm
Elche 2 - 1 Mallorca
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
German Valera

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw has a probability of 27.16% and a win for Elche has a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (11.74%) , while for a Elche win it is 0-1 (7.25%).

Result

Rayo Vallecano 54.07% (-0.03)
Draw 27.16% (+0.04)
Elche 18.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.75% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 65% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 35% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 40.42%
Under 2.5 59.58%
Over 3.5 20.85%
Under 3.5 79.15%
Over 4.5 11.67%
Under 4.5 88.33%

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 38.6% (+0.01)
Draw 41.21% (-0.01)
Elche 20.19% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 57.75%
No Goal 11.74%
Elche 30.51%

Corners

Over 8 56.01% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 32.19% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.14%
Equal 9 11.87% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.99% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 33.21%
Under 10.5 66.79%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 43.42% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.58% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.06%
Under 2.5 80.94%
Over 3.5 6.73%
Under 3.5 93.27%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5 49.35% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 50.65% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 17.9% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 82.1% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.13%
Under 2.5 94.87%
Over 3.5 1.25%
Under 3.5 98.75%

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 54.06%
Draw 27.15%
Elche 18.79%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 16.01% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 8.81%
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 6.67%
Total : 54.06%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.74%
1-1 @ 11.11% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.62%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 27.15%
Elche
0-1 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 18.79%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 21, 2025 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hector Fort 6' goal
  • Alvaro 67' goal
  • German Valera 70' goal
  • Aleix Febas 79' yellowcard
  • Josan 84' yellowcard
  • Martim Neto 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Nobel Mendy 22'
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 57'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 82'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 3.15pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Tete Morente 45'+1' goal
  • Lucas Boye 52' goal
  • Fidel 53' goal
  • Gerard Gumbau 72' goal
La Liga Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Sergio Camello 40' goal
  • Unai Lopez 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lucas Boye 32'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raul Guti 32' yellowcard
  • Guido Carrillo 76' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 84' goal
  • Johan Mojica 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santi Comesana 7'
  • goal Fran Garcia 52'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 68'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Sylla 72'
  • yellowcard Ivan Balliu 75'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2021 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mario Hernandez 26' goal
  • Randy Nteka 65' goal
  • Unai Lopez 81' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Garcia 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Boye 14'
  • yellowcard Gerard Gumbau 28'
  • yellowcard Kiko Casilla 90'+4'
Copa del Rey
Jan 16, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Bebe 36' goal
  • Isi 75' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Catena 78' goal
  • yellowcard Nino 39'
  • yellowcard Jeison Lucumi 71'