La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 5, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 8.00pm
Sevilla 0 - 2 Valencia
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.15pm
Celta Vigo 3 - 4 Alaves
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Valencia has a probability of 33.98% and a draw has a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Valencia win is 1-0 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.19%).

Result

Valencia 33.98% (-0.14)
Draw 28.18% (-0.04)
Celta Vigo 37.84% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.31% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.48% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 29.52% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 44.94% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 55.06% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 23.01% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.99% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.83% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 88.17% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Valencia 25.12%
Draw 46.38%
Celta Vigo 28.5%

Team To Score First

Valencia 41.58% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.92% (-0.03)
Celta Vigo 49.5% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.2%
Equal 8 12.17%
Under 8 37.63%
Over 9 38.51%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 49.8%
Over 10.5 28.21%
Under 10.5 71.79%

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 32.14% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 67.86% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 11.48% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.52% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.27% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.73% (+0.02)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 69.81% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 30.19% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 35.07% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 64.93% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 13.06% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 86.94% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 3.97% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.03% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Valencia 33.99%
Draw 28.19%
Celta Vigo 37.84%
Valencia
1-0 @ 9.9% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.12% (-0.01)
Total : 33.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 28.19%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 8.5% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.61% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.24% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.82% (+0.05)
Total : 37.84%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 3, 2026 1.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Pablo Durán 28' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 33' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 59' goal
  • Hugo Álvarez 67' yellowcard
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 67' yellowcard
  • Manu Fernández 81' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 81' yellowcard
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 83' goal
  • Hugo Álvarez 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Pepelu 7'
  • yellowcard Largie Ramazani 57'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 57'
  • yellowcard Arnaut Danjuma 66'
  • yellowcard César Tárrega 66'
  • goal Pepelu 70'
  • yellowcard Diego López 81'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2025 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Luis Rioja 44' goal
  • Enzo Barrenechea 67' yellowcard
  • Javi Guerra 68' goal
  • goal Pablo Duran Fernandez 65'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 67'
  • yellowcard Carl Starfelt 83'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 23, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Oscar Mingueza 22' goal
  • Oscar Mingueza 25' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 27' goal
  • Fran Beltran 60' goal
  • Damian Rodriguez 78' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Bamba 87' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Lopez 15'
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Iago Aspas 49' goal
  • Anastasios Douvikas 62' goal
  • goal Carlos Dominguez 5' (OG)
  • goal Alberto Mari 60'
Copa del Rey
Jan 17, 2024 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Pepelu 29' goal
  • Yarek Gasiorowski 86' yellowcard
  • goal Luca de la Torre 13'
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 18'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 48'
  • yellowcard Williot Swedberg 68'
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 80'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Selim Amallah 77' yellowcard
  • Pepelu 87' yellowcard
  • Hugo Guillamon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Cervi 71'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 79'