La Liga
Valencia
Apr 5, 2026 3.15pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Celta Vigo
  • Guido Rodríguez 12' goal
  • Umar Sadiq 63' yellowcard
  • Filip Ugrinic 63' yellowcard
  • Lucas Beltrán 63' yellowcard
  • Thierry Correia 63' yellowcard
  • Lucas Beltrán 64' yellowcard
  • Thierry Correia 64' yellowcard
  • Arnaut Danjuma 78' yellowcard
  • Guido Rodríguez 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jones El-Abdellaoui 46'
  • yellowcard Fer López 46'
  • yellowcard Williot Swedberg 46'
  • goal Ilaix Moriba 56'
  • goal Fer López 60'
  • yellowcard Borja Iglesias 71'
  • goal Williot Swedberg 81'
  • yellowcard Yoel Lago 88'

Valencia vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 8.00pm
Sevilla 0 - 2 Valencia
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.15pm
Celta Vigo 3 - 4 Alaves
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Valencia 34.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 28.14%
Celta Vigo 37.42% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 29.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 23.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 76.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 11.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.26% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Valencia 24.26%
Draw 47.02%
Celta Vigo 28.72%

Team To Score First

Valencia 41.96% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Celta Vigo 49.35% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 8 12.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 37.74% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 9 38.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 49.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 28.23%
Under 10.5 71.77%

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 32.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 67.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.51%
Under 2.5 88.49%
Over 3.5 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.8% ▲ (+0.01)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 69.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.05%
Under 1.5 64.95%
Over 2.5 12.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Valencia 34.41%
Draw 28.14%
Celta Vigo 37.43%
Valencia
1-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 34.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 28.14%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 10.43% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.53%
1-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 37.43%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Celta Vigo
Jan 3, 2026 1.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
Valencia
  • Pablo Durán 28' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 33' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 59' goal
  • Hugo Álvarez 67' yellowcard
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 67' yellowcard
  • Manu Fernández 81' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 81' yellowcard
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 83' goal
  • Hugo Álvarez 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Pepelu 7'
  • yellowcard Largie Ramazani 57'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 57'
  • yellowcard Arnaut Danjuma 66'
  • yellowcard César Tárrega 66'
  • goal Pepelu 70'
  • yellowcard Diego López 81'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Valencia
Feb 2, 2025 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Celta Vigo
  • Luis Rioja 44' goal
  • Enzo Barrenechea 67' yellowcard
  • Javi Guerra 68' goal
  • goal Pablo Duran Fernandez 65'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 67'
  • yellowcard Carl Starfelt 83'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
Aug 23, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Valencia
  • Oscar Mingueza 22' goal
  • Oscar Mingueza 25' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 27' goal
  • Fran Beltran 60' goal
  • Damian Rodriguez 78' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Bamba 87' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Lopez 15'
La Liga Gameweek 38
Celta Vigo
May 26, 2024 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Valencia
  • Iago Aspas 49' goal
  • Anastasios Douvikas 62' goal
  • goal Carlos Dominguez 5' (OG)
  • goal Alberto Mari 60'
Copa del Rey
Valencia
Jan 17, 2024 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Celta Vigo
  • Pepelu 29' goal
  • Yarek Gasiorowski 86' yellowcard
  • goal Luca de la Torre 13'
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 18'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 48'
  • yellowcard Williot Swedberg 68'
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 80'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Valencia
Nov 25, 2023 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Celta Vigo
  • Selim Amallah 77' yellowcard
  • Pepelu 87' yellowcard
  • Hugo Guillamon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Cervi 71'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 79'

Form Data

Sevilla 0 - 2 Valencia
Real Oviedo 1 - 0 Valencia
Valencia 3 - 2 Alaves
Valencia 1 - 0 Osasuna
Villarreal 2 - 1 Valencia
Levante 0 - 2 Valencia
Celta Vigo 3 - 4 Alaves
Lyon 0 - 2 Celta Vigo
Betis 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Lyon
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Girona 1 - 2 Celta Vigo