Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw has a probability of 23.63% and a win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.25%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.95%) , while for a Athletic Bilbao win it is 1-2 (6.24%).