La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2026 8.00pm
Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 8.00pm
Sevilla 2 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw has a probability of 23.63% and a win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.25%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.95%) , while for a Athletic Bilbao win it is 1-2 (6.24%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 53.51%
Draw 23.63%
Athletic Bilbao 22.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.75%
Under 1.5 22.25%
Over 2.5 54.68%
Under 2.5 45.32%
Over 3.5 31.54%
Under 3.5 68.46%
Over 4.5 18.54%
Under 4.5 81.46%

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 39.6%
Draw 39.1%
Athletic Bilbao 21.3%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 56.51%
No Goal 5.87%
Athletic Bilbao 37.62%

Corners

Over 8 61.92%
Equal 8 11.04%
Under 8 27.04%
Over 9 50.3%
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 38.08%
Over 10.5 39.08%
Under 10.5 60.92%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 51.78%
Under 1.5 48.22%
Over 2.5 25.25%
Under 2.5 74.75%
Over 3.5 10.13%
Under 3.5 89.87%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 59.4%
Under 0.5 40.6%
Over 1.5 26.8%
Under 1.5 73.2%
Over 2.5 9.04%
Under 2.5 90.96%
Over 3.5 2.44%
Under 3.5 97.56%

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 53.5%
Draw 23.63%
Athletic Bilbao 22.83%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 10.25%
2-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 3%
Other @ 9.9%
Total : 53.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 5.87%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.63%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 22.83%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 6, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikel Jauregizar 14' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 20' yellowcard
  • Aymeric Laporte 28' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 85' goal
  • yellowcard Conor Gallagher 12'
  • yellowcard Koke 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 1, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Alexander Sorloth 57' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 66' goal
  • Pablo Barrios 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 32'
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 62'
  • yellowcard Yeray Alvarez 87'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Nico Williams 15' yellowcard
  • Yeray Alvarez 34' yellowcard
  • Oihan Sancet 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Koke 85'
  • goal Angel Correa 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Rodrigo De Paul 5' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 15' goal
  • Angel Correa 52' goal
  • Unai Simon 80' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Nico Williams 45'
  • yellowcard Oihan Sancet 59'
  • yellowcard Aitor Paredes 71'
Copa del Rey
Feb 29, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Inaki Williams 13' goal
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 40' yellowcard
  • Nico Williams 42' goal
  • Iker Muniain 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Gorka Guruzeta 61' goal
  • Inigo Lekue 66' yellowcard
  • Oscar de Marcos 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 28'
Copa del Rey
Feb 7, 2024 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Reinildo Mandava 23' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 24' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 65' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 83' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 25'
  • yellowcard Benat Prados 37'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Unai Gomez 71'
  • yellowcard Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 90'+7'