La Liga
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Antoine Griezmann
49'
-
Alexander Sørloth
54'
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Johnny Cardoso
58'
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Johnny Cardoso
59'
-
Nico González
63'
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Nahuel Molina
63'
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Robin Le Normand
72'
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Obed Vargas
72'
-
Alexander Sørloth
90'+3'
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Aitor Paredes
23'
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Adama Boiro
63'
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Oihan Sancet
63'
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Álex Berenguer
70'
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Robert Navarro
70'
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Mikel Vesga
70'
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Gorka Guruzeta
90'+7'
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result
Atletico Madrid
51.91%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
23.73%
Athletic Bilbao
24.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
56.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.72%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
21.28%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
55.94%
Under 2.5
44.06%
Over 3.5
32.71%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
67.29%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
19.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
80.8%
▲
(+0.01)
First Half Winner
Atletico Madrid
39.67%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
39.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Athletic Bilbao
21.25%
▲
(+0.04)
Team To Score First
Atletico Madrid
56.81%
▲
(+0.07)
No Goal
5.5%
Athletic Bilbao
37.69%
▼
(-0.07)
Corners
Over 8
61.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 8
11.04%
Under 8
27.03%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 9
50.3%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 9
11.63%
Under 9
38.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 10.5
39.09%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 10.5
60.91%
▲
(+0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 1.5
51.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
48.56%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
25.02%
Under 2.5
74.98%
Over 3.5
10.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
89.98%
▲
(+0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5
61.52%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
38.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
28.8%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
71.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
10.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
89.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
2.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
97.23%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Atletico Madrid
51.91%
Draw
23.72%
Athletic Bilbao
24.33%
Atletico Madrid
2-1
@
10.25%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 9.78%
Total : 51.91%
1-0 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 9.78%
Total : 51.91%
Draw
1-1
@
11.01%
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.72%
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.72%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
@
6.59%
0-1 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.33%
Head to Head
La Liga
-
Mikel Jauregizar
14'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
20'
-
Aymeric Laporte
28'
-
Alex Berenguer
85'
-
Conor Gallagher
12'
-
Koke
90'+4'
La Liga
Gameweek
26
-
Alexander Sorloth
57'
-
Julian Alvarez
66'
-
Pablo Barrios
68'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
32'
-
Andoni Gorosabel
62'
-
Yeray Alvarez
87'
La Liga
Gameweek
4
-
Nico Williams
15'
-
Yeray Alvarez
34'
-
Oihan Sancet
35'
-
Koke
85'
-
Angel Correa
90'+2'
La Liga
Gameweek
33
-
Rodrigo De Paul
5'
-
Rodrigo De Paul
15'
-
Angel Correa
52'
-
Unai Simon
80'
-
Mario Hermoso
90'+3'
-
Antoine Griezmann
90'+4'
-
Nico Williams
45'
-
Oihan Sancet
59'
-
Aitor Paredes
71'
Copa del Rey
-
Inaki Williams
13'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
40'
-
Nico Williams
42'
-
Iker Muniain
45'+3'
-
Gorka Guruzeta
61'
-
Inigo Lekue
66'
-
Oscar de Marcos
74'
-
Mario Hermoso
28'
Copa del Rey
-
Reinildo Mandava
23'
-
Diego Simeone
24'
-
Diego Simeone
65'
-
Rodrigo De Paul
83'
-
Alex Berenguer
25'
-
Benat Prados
37'
-
Daniel Vivian
45'+2'
-
Unai Gomez
71'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
90'+7'