Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.