La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2026 6.00pm
San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Osasuna

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 1.00pm
Osasuna 1 - 1 Betis
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ante Budimir

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw has a probability of 25.51% and a win for Osasuna has a probability of 24.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.99%) , while for a Osasuna win it is 0-1 (7.22%).

Result

Athletic Bilbao 49.52% (+0.66)
Draw 25.51% (-0.20)
Osasuna 24.97% (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.64% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.36% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 48.81% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 51.19% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 26.35% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 73.65% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 14.3% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.7% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Athletic Bilbao 34.69% (+1.86)
Draw 44.68% (+0.40)
Osasuna 20.63% (-2.25)

Team To Score First

Athletic Bilbao 56.63% (+2.54)
No Goal 7.36% (+0.06)
Osasuna 36.01% (-2.59)

Corners

Over 8 58.87% (-1.53)
Equal 8 12.11% (+0.29)
Under 8 29.02% (+1.24)
Over 9 46.37% (-1.70)
Equal 9 12.5% (+0.17)
Under 9 41.13% (+1.53)
Over 10.5 34.65% (-1.72)
Under 10.5 65.35% (+1.71)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 1.5 45.59% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 54.41% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 20.04% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 79.96% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 7%
Under 3.5 93%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5 60.37% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 39.63% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 26.54% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 73.46% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 8.2% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 91.8% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 2.09% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.91% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 49.52%
Draw 25.51%
Osasuna 24.98%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.79% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.79% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.95% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 4.83% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.62% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.08)
Other @ 6.92%
Total : 49.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.26)
0-0 @ 7.36% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.51%
Osasuna
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 6.73% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.01% (-0.07)
Total : 24.98%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 3, 2026 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Rubén García 34' goal
  • Raúl García 76' yellowcard
  • Kike Barja 76' yellowcard
  • Moi Gómez 83' yellowcard
  • Iñigo Arguibide 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Navarro 60'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Rego 60'
  • yellowcard Álex Berenguer 60'
  • yellowcard Jesús Areso 69'
  • goal Gorka Guruzeta 71'
  • yellowcard Nico Serrano 90'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 30, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Unai Nunez 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 45'
Copa del Rey
Jan 16, 2025 6.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT San Mames Barria
  • Nico Williams 45'+3' goal
  • Oscar de Marcos 55' goal
  • Mikel Jauregizar 84' yellowcard
  • goal Aimar Oroz 41'
  • goal Ante Budimir 44'
  • yellowcard Jon Moncayola 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 49'
  • goal Ante Budimir 70'
  • yellowcard Jesus Areso 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Lucas Torro 25' goal
  • goal Gorka Guruzeta 31'
  • goal Alex Berenguer 74'
  • yellowcard Gorka Guruzeta 87'
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre
  • Alvaro Djalo 19' goal
  • Yuri Berchiche 57' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 65' goal
  • goal Raul Garcia 26'
  • yellowcard Ruben Pena 57'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 11, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT San Mames Barria
  • Yuri Berchiche 22' yellowcard
  • Ander Herrera 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 58' goal
  • Asier Villalibre 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Jorge Herrando 34'
  • goal Raul Garcia 40'
  • goal Ruben Garcia 47'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ibanez 55'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 73'
  • yellowcard Ruben Garcia 90'+2'