Premier League Gameweek 36
May 10, 2026 2.00pm
Turf Moor

Burnley vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2026 8.00pm
Leeds 3 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 7.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Spurs
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 22.75% and a draw has a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (10.22%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest Burnley win is 1-0 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.23%).

Result

Burnley 22.75%
Draw 22.49%
Aston Villa 54.76% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.79% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.04% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.96% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 55.58%
Under 2.5 44.42%
Over 3.5 33.01%
Under 3.5 66.99%
Over 4.5 19.1%
Under 4.5 80.9%

First Half Winner

Burnley 20.01% (-0.01)
Draw 40.24%
Aston Villa 39.75%

Team To Score First

Burnley 33.85% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.72%
Aston Villa 60.43% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.39%
Equal 8 12.16%
Under 8 26.45%
Over 9 48.5%
Equal 9 12.89%
Under 9 38.61%
Over 10.5 36.2%
Under 10.5 63.8%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 26.74% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 73.26% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.01% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.99% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.44% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.56% (+0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 81.55% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 18.45% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 53.03% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 46.97% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 26.26% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 73.74% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 10.12% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.88% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Burnley 22.74%
Draw 22.49%
Aston Villa 54.76%
Burnley
1-0 @ 6.01% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.73%
2-0 @ 3.23%
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.38% (-0.02)
Total : 22.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 22.49%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 10.51%
0-1 @ 10.22%
0-2 @ 9.01% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.23% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.06% (+0.04)
Total : 54.76%

Head to Head

Premier League
Oct 5, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Villa Park
  • Ezri Konsa 18' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 28' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 42' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 88' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 89' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 23'
  • goal Zeki Amdouni 31'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 42'
  • redcard Sander Berge 56'
  • goal Lyle Foster 71'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Turf Moor
  • Josh Cullen 39' yellowcard
  • Lyle Foster 47' goal
  • Sander Berge 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Matty Cash 8'
  • goal Matty Cash 20'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 61'
Premier League Gameweek 18
May 19, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Emiliano Buendia 48' goal
  • goal Ashley Barnes 45'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 55'
  • redcard Matthew Lowton 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Josh Brownhill 69' yellowcard
  • Maxwel Cornet 90'+1' goal
  • goal Danny Ings 7'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 21'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 31'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 45'+1'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 52'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2021 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • James Tarkowski 22' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 52' goal
  • Dwight McNeil 76' goal
  • Chris Wood 79' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 14'
  • goal Jack Grealish 68'