Premier League Gameweek 36
Burnley
May 10, 2026 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Turf Moor
Aston Villa
  • Jaidon Anthony 8' goal
  • Zian Flemming 58' goal
  • Lyle Foster 69' yellowcard
  • Josh Laurent 79' yellowcard
  • Zeki Amdouni 79' yellowcard
  • James Ward-Prowse 87' yellowcard
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ross Barkley 42'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 56'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Buendía 74'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 74'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 80'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 80'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 85'

Burnley vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2026 8.00pm
Leeds 3 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 7.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Spurs
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 53.92%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (5.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 23.65% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 22.46% ▲ (+0.11)
Aston Villa 53.92% ▼ (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.03% ▲ (+0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.78% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 21.22% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 56.68% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 43.32% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 3.5 34.11% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 65.89% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 4.5 19.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 80.16% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Burnley 20.01%
Draw 40.24%
Aston Villa 39.75%

Team To Score First

Burnley 33.94% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Aston Villa 60.59% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.39%
Equal 8 12.16%
Under 8 26.45%
Over 9 48.5%
Equal 9 12.89%
Under 9 38.61%
Over 10.5 36.2%
Under 10.5 63.8%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 28.14% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 1.5 71.86% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 9.81% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 2.5 90.19% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 2.76% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 97.24% ▼ (-0.14)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 81.4% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 18.6% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 53.06% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 46.94% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 2.5 26.34% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 73.66% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 10.18% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 89.82% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Burnley 23.64%
Draw 22.45%
Aston Villa 53.91%
Burnley
1-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 23.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 22.45%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 10.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 53.91%

Head to Head

Premier League
Aston Villa
Oct 5, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Burnley
Premier League Gameweek 20
Aston Villa
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Villa Park
Burnley
  • Ezri Konsa 18' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 28' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 42' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 88' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 89' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 23'
  • goal Zeki Amdouni 31'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 42'
  • redcard Sander Berge 56'
  • goal Lyle Foster 71'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Burnley
Aug 27, 2023 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Turf Moor
Aston Villa
  • Josh Cullen 39' yellowcard
  • Lyle Foster 47' goal
  • Sander Berge 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Matty Cash 8'
  • goal Matty Cash 20'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 61'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Aston Villa
May 19, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Burnley
  • Emiliano Buendia 48' goal
  • goal Ashley Barnes 45'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 55'
  • redcard Matthew Lowton 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Burnley
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Aston Villa
  • Josh Brownhill 69' yellowcard
  • Maxwel Cornet 90'+1' goal
  • goal Danny Ings 7'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 21'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 31'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 45'+1'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 52'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Burnley
Jan 27, 2021 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • James Tarkowski 22' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 52' goal
  • Dwight McNeil 76' goal
  • Chris Wood 79' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 14'
  • goal Jack Grealish 68'

Form Data

Leeds 3 - 1 Burnley
Burnley 0 - 1 Man City
Nott'm Forest 4 - 1 Burnley
Burnley 0 - 2 Brighton
Fulham 3 - 1 Burnley
Burnley 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Spurs
Nott'm Forest 1 - 0 Aston Villa
Fulham 1 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 4 - 3 Sunderland
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Bologna

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
Head to head