Europa League
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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 27.18% and a draw has a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.79%).
Result
Aston Villa
49.19%
▲
(+0.68)
Draw
23.63%
▼
(-0.48)
Nottingham Forest
27.18%
▼
(-0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
58.28%
▲
(+0.32)
Goals
Over 1.5
79.06%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
20.94%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 2.5
56.85%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 2.5
43.15%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 3.5
34.55%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 3.5
65.41%
▼
(-0.72)
Over 4.5
20.2%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 4.5
79.8%
▼
(-0.44)
First Half Winner
Aston Villa
38.02%
▲
(+1.89)
Draw
39.4%
▼
(-0.33)
Nottingham Forest
22.58%
▼
(-1.56)
Team To Score First
Aston Villa
57.92%
▲
(+0.03)
No Goal
5.35%
▼
(-0.07)
Nottingham Forest
36.73%
▲
(+0.04)
Corners
Over 8
61.11%
▲
(+1.65)
Equal 8
10.98%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 8
27.92%
▼
(-1.48)
Over 9
49.63%
▲
(+1.68)
Equal 9
11.48%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
38.89%
▼
(-1.65)
Over 10.5
38.6%
▲
(+1.54)
Under 10.5
61.4%
▼
(-1.54)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 1.5
49.78%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 1.5
50.22%
▼
(-0.72)
Over 2.5
24.26%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 2.5
75.74%
▼
(-0.81)
Over 3.5
9.68%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 3.5
90.32%
▼
(-0.34)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5
63.6%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 0.5
36.4%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
31.74%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
68.26%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
11.72%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
88.28%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
3.62%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
96.38%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
49.21%
Draw
23.62%
Nottingham Forest
27.18%
Aston Villa
2-1
@
9.36%
▼
(-0.16)
1-0 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.44)
Total : 49.21%
1-0 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.44)
Total : 49.21%
Draw
1-1
@
10.79%
▼
(-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 23.62%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 23.62%
Nottingham Forest
1-2
@
6.82%
▼
(-0.17)
0-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.18%
Head to Head
Europa League
-
Chris Wood
71'
-
Zach Abbott
75'
-
Ryan Yates
90'
-
Lamare Bogarde
55'
-
Douglas Luiz
78'
-
Douglas Luiz
79'
-
Ian Maatsen
79'
-
Jadon Sancho
79'
Premier League
-
Neco Williams
38'
-
Chris Wood
65'
-
Nicolás Domínguez
84'
-
Ryan Yates
89'
-
Ola Aina
89'
-
Dan Ndoye
89'
-
Murillo
23'
(OG)
-
Douglas Luiz
77'
-
Emiliano Buendía
78'
-
Ian Maatsen
78'
-
Tammy Abraham
87'
-
Andrés García
90'+1'
Premier League
Gameweek
20
-
Ollie Watkins
45'+1'
-
John McGinn
49'
-
Jadon Sancho
69'
-
Lucas Digne
69'
-
John McGinn
73'
-
Lamare Bogarde
83'
-
Donyell Malen
83'
-
Andrés García
90'
-
Morgan Gibbs-White
61'
-
James McAtee
69'
-
Nicolò Savona
69'
-
Matz Sels
78'
-
Douglas Luiz
83'
-
Arnaud Kalimuendo
83'
Premier League
Gameweek
31
-
Morgan Rogers
13'
-
Donyell Malen
15'
-
Marco Asensio
51'
-
Emiliano Martinez
86'
-
Morato
49'
-
Jota Silva
57'
-
Jota Silva
73'
Premier League
Gameweek
16
-
Nikola Milenkovic
87'
-
Anthony Elanga
90'+3'
-
Jhon Duran
63'
-
Jhon Duran
70'
Premier League
Gameweek
26
-
Ollie Watkins
4'
-
Douglas Luiz
29'
-
Douglas Luiz
39'
-
Alex Moreno
57'
-
Leon Bailey
61'
-
Murillo
15'
-
Felipe
45'
-
Morgan Gibbs-White
48'
-
Moussa Niakhate
45'+5'