Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (6.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%).