Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.57% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.26%) and 2-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%) , while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.