Premier League Gameweek 35
May 1, 2026 8.00pm
Elland Road

Leeds United vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 8.00pm
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Leeds
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 8.00pm
Burnley 0 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw has a probability of 20.41% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.26%) and 2-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.6%) , while for a Burnley win it is 1-2 (4.51%).

Result

Leeds United 63.84%
Draw 20.41%
Burnley 15.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.24%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.2%
Under 1.5 19.8%
Over 2.5 58.36%
Under 2.5 41.64%
Over 3.5 35.39%
Under 3.5 64.61%
Over 4.5 22.75% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.25% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 49.17%
Draw 36.66%
Burnley 14.17%

Team To Score First

Leeds United 69.39%
No Goal 4.96%
Burnley 25.65%

Corners

Over 8 61.72%
Equal 8 11.31%
Under 8 26.98%
Over 9 49.81%
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 38.28%
Over 10.5 38.37%
Under 10.5 61.63%

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 60.48% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 39.52% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 34.01% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 65.99% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 15.78%
Under 3.5 84.22%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 51.23% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 48.77% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 20.5%
Under 1.5 79.5%
Over 2.5 6.19%
Under 2.5 93.81%
Over 3.5 1.57% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.43% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Leeds United 63.84%
Draw 20.41%
Burnley 15.71%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 10.26% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.2%
3-0 @ 7.37% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 15.6%
Total : 63.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.96%
2-2 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.41%
Burnley
1-2 @ 4.51%
0-1 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Total : 15.71%

Head to Head

Premier League
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • yellowcard Manor Solomon 31'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 60'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 67'
Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road
  • Junior Firpo 34' yellowcard
  • Willy Gnonto 52' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ampadu 60' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Koleosho 18'
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 38'
  • yellowcard Jaidon Anthony 45'
  • yellowcard Joe Worrall 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Bashir Humphreys 66'
  • yellowcard Han-Noah Massengo 90'+6'
  • yellowcard 90'+8'
  • redcard Bashir Humphreys 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2022 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tyler Roberts 10' yellowcard
  • Jack Harrison 39' goal
  • Diego Llorente 53' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 77' goal
  • Daniel James 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 28'
  • goal Maxwel Cornet 54'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Josh Brownhill 19' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 28' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Chris Wood 61' goal
  • Aaron Lennon 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 38'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo 53'
  • yellowcard Pascal Struijk 81'
  • goal Patrick Bamford 86'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ashley Westwood 65' yellowcard
  • goal Mateusz Klich 44'
  • goal Jack Harrison 60'
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 63'
  • goal Rodrigo 77'
  • goal Rodrigo 79'