Champions League
May 5, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Bukayo Saka 44' goal
  • Piero Hincapié 58' yellowcard
  • Martin Ødegaard 58' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 58' yellowcard
  • 58' yellowcard
  • 58' yellowcard
  • Martin Ødegaard 59' yellowcard
  • Martín Zubimendi 74' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Johnny Cardoso 57'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 57'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 57'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 58'
  • yellowcard Johnny Cardoso 58'
  • yellowcard 58'
  • yellowcard 58'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 66'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 66'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 67'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 67'

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 1 - 1 Arsenal

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 1 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.55% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%) , while for a Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 59.66% (+0.01)
Draw 22.55%
Atletico Madrid 17.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.3% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.62% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 25.38% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 50.14% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.89% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.52%
Under 3.5 71.52%
Over 4.5 17.48%
Under 4.5 82.52%

First Half Winner

Arsenal 42.06% (-0.01)
Draw 38.39% (-0.02)
Atletico Madrid 19.54% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Arsenal 63.23% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.01)
Atletico Madrid 29.94% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.22%
Equal 8 11.22%
Under 8 27.57%
Over 9 49.47%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 38.78%
Over 10.5 38.21%
Under 10.5 61.79%

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 53.07% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 46.93% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 26.43% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 73.57% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 11.09% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.91% (-0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 51.45% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 48.55% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 19.84% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.16% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 6.09% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.71% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.29% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Arsenal 59.65%
Draw 22.55%
Atletico Madrid 17.84%
Arsenal
1-0 @ 12.95% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.34% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.46% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 2.61%
Other @ 11.01% (+0.01)
Total : 59.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69%
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 22.55%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.56% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Total : 17.84%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 29, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Robin Le Normand 46' yellowcard
  • Julián Alvarez 56' yellowcard
  • Julián Alvarez 57' yellowcard
  • Álex Baena 77' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyökeres 44'
  • yellowcard Eberechi Eze 58'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 68'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 68'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 69'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 86'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 87'
Champions League
Oct 21, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
LIVE
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 26, 2018 12.35pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT National Stadium
  • Emile Smith Rowe 47' goal
  • Calum Chambers 81' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Vietto 41'
Europa League
May 3, 2018 8.05pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano (Madrid)
  • Diego Costa 45' goal
  • Gabi 52' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 71' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Wilshere 42'
  • yellowcard Nacho Monreal 59'
  • yellowcard Shkodran Mustafi 78'

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