Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.83% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%) , while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.