La Liga
May 2, 2026 3.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Hugo Duro 59' yellowcard
  • Diego López 59' yellowcard
  • Arnaut Danjuma 73' yellowcard
  • Jesús Vázquez 73' yellowcard
  • Dani Raba 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Cubo 63'
  • yellowcard Iker Luque 63'
  • yellowcard Koke  73'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 73'
  • goal Iker Luque 74'
  • goal Miguel Cubo 82'
  • yellowcard Aleksa Puric 90'+7'

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 5.30pm
Valencia 2 - 1 Girona
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Valencia 36.03% (-0.02)
Draw 25.85% (-0.02)
Atletico Madrid 38.12% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.16% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.35% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 22.65% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 53.55% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 46.45% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 31.09% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 68.91%
Over 4.5 17.35% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.65% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Valencia 29.32%
Draw 44.61%
Atletico Madrid 26.07% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Valencia 49.15% (-0.10)
No Goal 6.08% (-0.02)
Atletico Madrid 44.77% (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 61.44% (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 27.12% (+0.09)
Over 9 49.42% (-0.08)
Equal 9 12.02% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.56% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 37.9% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 62.1% (+0.06)

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 37.96% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.04% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 15.44% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 84.56% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95% (-0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 72.62% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 27.38% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 40.16% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 59.84% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 16.64% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 83.36% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.93% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.07% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Valencia 36.04%
Draw 25.86%
Atletico Madrid 38.11%
Valencia
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.25% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 36.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 25.86%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 8.68% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 2.92% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.59%
Other @ 5.73%
Total : 38.11%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 13, 2025 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Koke 17' goal
  • Marc Pubill 32' yellowcard
  • Marc Pubill 33' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 42' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 74' goal
  • Diego Simeone 88' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 90' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 90' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 90' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Beltran 63'
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 88'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Javi Guerra 42' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Alvarez 12'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 23'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 30'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 40'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 64'
  • goal Angel Correa 86'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Koke 25' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 39' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 54' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Cesar Tarrega 10'
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamon 32'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Nahuel Molina 49' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 45'+5' goal
  • Memphis Depay 57' goal
  • Saul Niguez 83' yellowcard
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Hugo Duro 5' goal
  • Hugo Duro 34' goal
  • Javi Guerra 54' goal
  • Giorgi Mamardashvili 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 23'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 36'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 37'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 74'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 86'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Antoine Griezmann 23' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 49' goal
  • Thomas Lemar 67' goal