La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2026 6.00pm
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Mallorca vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 3.15pm
Mallorca 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Vedat Muriqi

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.15pm
Elche 1 - 0 Valencia
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mallorca win with a probability of 39%. A win for Valencia has a probability of 34.23% and a draw has a probability of 26.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Valencia win is 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.59%).

Result

Mallorca 39% (-1.29)
Draw 26.76% (-0.30)
Valencia 34.23% (+1.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.39% (+1.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.03% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 27.97% (-0.93)
Over 2.5 46.56% (+1.11)
Under 2.5 53.44% (-1.11)
Over 3.5 24.94% (+0.93)
Under 3.5 75.06% (-0.93)
Over 4.5 13.25% (+0.62)
Under 4.5 86.75% (-0.63)

First Half Winner

Mallorca 25.77% (-2.79)
Draw 44.63% (-0.61)
Valencia 29.59% (+3.40)

Team To Score First

Mallorca 41.79% (-2.08)
No Goal 8.23% (-0.26)
Valencia 49.98% (+2.34)

Corners

Over 8 58.1% (-2.51)
Equal 8 11.85% (+0.24)
Under 8 30.05% (+2.29)
Over 9 45.98% (-2.49)
Equal 9 12.12% (-0.03)
Under 9 41.9% (+2.51)
Over 10.5 34.66% (-2.25)
Under 10.5 65.34% (+2.25)

Mallorca Goals

Over 1.5 36.29% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 63.71% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 13.81% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 86.19% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 4.33% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 95.67% (+0.11)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 66.25% (+1.16)
Under 0.5 33.75% (-1.15)
Over 1.5 33.26% (+1.96)
Under 1.5 66.74% (-1.97)
Over 2.5 12.56% (+1.28)
Under 2.5 87.44% (-1.27)
Over 3.5 3.92% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 96.08% (-0.50)

Score analysis

Mallorca 39%
Draw 26.77%
Valencia 34.22%
Mallorca
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.37)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.26)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.30)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.29% (-0.10)
Total : 39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 5.03% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 26.77%
Valencia
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.33)
1-2 @ 7.99% (+0.40)
0-2 @ 5.72% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 3.21% (+0.30)
0-3 @ 2.35% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.23)
Other @ 3.88% (+0.51)
Total : 34.22%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 19, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hugo Duro 52' goal
  • Carlos Corberan 52' yellowcard
  • Filip Ugrinic 66' yellowcard
  • Filip Ugrinic 67' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Samu 23'
  • yellowcard Samu 46'
  • yellowcard Leo Roman 79'
  • yellowcard Mateo Fernandez 87'
  • yellowcard 87'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 30, 2025 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Diego Lopez 50' goal
  • Luis Rioja 84' yellowcard
  • Enzo Barrenechea 85' yellowcard
  • Carlos Corberan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Foulquier 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jose Gaya 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Raillo 12'
  • yellowcard Jagoba Arrasate 43'
  • yellowcard Sergi Darder 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Samu 76'
  • yellowcard Dani Rodriguez 90'+10'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Nov 29, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Cyle Larin 45'+3' goal
  • Martin Valjent 71' yellowcard
  • Abdon Prats 81' goal
  • goal Luis Rioja 32'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 62'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • yellowcard Cyle Larin 31'
  • yellowcard Samu 90'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Dani Rodriguez 5' goal
  • Giovanni Gonzalez 16' yellowcard
  • Samu 36' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Lopez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 69'
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 25, 2023 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Vedat Muriqi 64' goal