Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.62% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.