La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 4, 2026 3.15pm
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Mallorca vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 1.00pm
Elche 2 - 1 Mallorca
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Vedat Muriqi

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Atletico
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Mallorca has a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Mallorca win it is 1-0 (5.53%).

Result

Mallorca 19.04%
Draw 23%
Real Madrid 57.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.76% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.25%
Under 1.5 24.75%
Over 2.5 52.04%
Under 2.5 47.96%
Over 3.5 30.12%
Under 3.5 69.88%
Over 4.5 18.3%
Under 4.5 81.7%

First Half Winner

Mallorca 22.03%
Draw 39.24%
Real Madrid 38.74%

Team To Score First

Mallorca 33.89%
No Goal 7.05%
Real Madrid 59.06%

Corners

Over 8 64.26% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.53%
Under 8 25.21% (-0.04)
Over 9 52.98% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.29% (+0.01)
Under 9 35.74% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 41.87% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 58.13% (-0.03)

Mallorca Goals

Over 1.5 22.23%
Under 1.5 77.77%
Over 2.5 7.19%
Under 2.5 92.81%
Over 3.5 2.07%
Under 3.5 97.93%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 82%
Under 0.5 18%
Over 1.5 53.02%
Under 1.5 46.98%
Over 2.5 26.71%
Under 2.5 73.29%
Over 3.5 10.91%
Under 3.5 89.09%

Score analysis

Mallorca 19.03%
Draw 23.01%
Real Madrid 57.97%
Mallorca
1-0 @ 5.53%
2-1 @ 4.92%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.01%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 12.18%
0-2 @ 10.48%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-3 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 5.53%
2-3 @ 2.98%
Other @ 10.78%
Total : 57.97%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 30, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 14, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Kylian Mbappe 68' goal
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 90'+5' goal
  • goal Martin Valjent 11'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sanchez 39'
  • yellowcard Samu 55'
  • yellowcard Pablo Maffeo 82'
Supercopa de Espana
Jan 9, 2025 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Jude Bellingham 63' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 66' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 66' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 74' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 74' yellowcard
  • Martin Valjent 90'+3' goal
  • Rodrygo 90'+5' goal
La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Jagoba Arrasate 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maffeo 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Vedat Muriqi 53' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 13'
  • redcard Ferland Mendy 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 13, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Antonio Raillo 16' yellowcard
  • Vedat Muriqi 82' yellowcard
  • goal Aurelien Tchouameni 48'
  • yellowcard Andriy Lunin 85'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 3, 2024 6.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Rodrygo 35' yellowcard
  • Andriy Lunin 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 78' goal
  • yellowcard Siebe Van der Heyden 1'
  • yellowcard Matija Nastasic 61'
  • yellowcard Pablo Maffeo 70'