La Liga
Apr 4, 2026 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
  • Manu Morlanes 41' goal
  • David López 70' yellowcard
  • Jan Virgili 70' yellowcard
  • Mateo Joseph 70' yellowcard
  • Antonio Sánchez 81' yellowcard
  • Vedat Muriqi 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Éder Militão  59'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 59'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 59'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 60'
  • yellowcard Éder Militão  60'
  • yellowcard Thiago Pitarch 72'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 76'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 77'
  • goal Éder Militão  88'

Mallorca vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 1.00pm
Elche 2 - 1 Mallorca
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Vedat Muriqi

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Atletico
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.62% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Mallorca 18.51%
Draw 22.62%
Real Madrid 58.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.89% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 24.11% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 53.08% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.92% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.89% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.11% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.49% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.51% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Mallorca 21.02%
Draw 39.17%
Real Madrid 39.81%

Team To Score First

Mallorca 31.42% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.78% (+0.04)
Real Madrid 61.8% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 66.22%
Equal 8 10.23%
Under 8 23.56%
Over 9 55.08%
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 33.78%
Over 10.5 43.93%
Under 10.5 56.07%

Mallorca Goals

Over 1.5 22.27% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 77.73% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.31%
Under 2.5 92.69%
Over 3.5 2.07%
Under 3.5 97.93%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 82.78% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 17.22% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 54.59% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 45.41% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 27.96% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 72.04% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 11.6% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.4% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Mallorca 18.5%
Draw 22.61%
Real Madrid 58.86%
Mallorca
1-0 @ 5.41%
2-1 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.45%
3-1 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.78% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.61%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 11.89% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 10.52% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 11.43% (-0.02)
Total : 58.86%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 30, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 14, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Kylian Mbappe 68' goal
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 90'+5' goal
  • goal Martin Valjent 11'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sanchez 39'
  • yellowcard Samu 55'
  • yellowcard Pablo Maffeo 82'
Supercopa de Espana
Jan 9, 2025 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Jude Bellingham 63' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 66' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 66' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 74' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 74' yellowcard
  • Martin Valjent 90'+3' goal
  • Rodrygo 90'+5' goal
La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Jagoba Arrasate 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maffeo 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Vedat Muriqi 53' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 13'
  • redcard Ferland Mendy 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 13, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Antonio Raillo 16' yellowcard
  • Vedat Muriqi 82' yellowcard
  • goal Aurelien Tchouameni 48'
  • yellowcard Andriy Lunin 85'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 3, 2024 6.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Rodrygo 35' yellowcard
  • Andriy Lunin 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 78' goal
  • yellowcard Siebe Van der Heyden 1'
  • yellowcard Matija Nastasic 61'
  • yellowcard Pablo Maffeo 70'

Build-up

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